Mon, May 21, 2012, 11:54 BST - UK Markets close in 4 hrs 36 mins

Discover Yahoo! With Your Friends

Explore news, videos, and much more based on what your friends are reading and watching. Publish your own activity and retain full control.

To get started, first

YOUR FRIENDS' ACTIVITY

    The base metal that’s better than gold

    Helicopter patrols, barbed wire fences and new laws are all being brought in all to stop thieves of the hottest commodity out there at the moment: Copper.

    Gold has been seen as a symbol of wealth for thousands of years, while copper is a metal that's so poorly regarded it's what we use to make our lowest-value coins from.

    Except we don't use it any more. Why? Because the value of copper has risen so much it would cost quite a bit more than 1p to make a penny piece from it now. Since 1992 the Royal Mint has made 1p and 2p pieces of copper-plated steel instead.

    The value of copper is now so high that trains are being delayed across Europe as thieves steal the wires from the ground near train tracks, security is being beefed up and laws changed to try to prevent more theft. In the UK copper water pipes are being ripped from walls, school roofs are being stripped and water tanks stolen as thieves loot easily-accessible copper.

    Copper has tripled in price in two years, from just over $3,000 per metric tonne in February 2009 to above $10,000 (£6,000) a tonne in February 2011, although it has slipped back a little since then. "Perhaps copper is the new gold," Pinaki Rath, the managing director of Gold Matrix Resources, said this week.

    And as the world's economies continue to improve their infrastructure and crave more modern conveniences, copper may even provide better long-term returns than gold.

    [Useful: How to cash in on changing copper prices]

    Why copper prices are rising

    Used in a variety of infrastructure, electrical and power generation products, copper could be the best way to play the industrial metal complex and the strengthening global economy.

    The red hot metal is facing good long and short term prospects despite the generalised rise in commodity prices. On the supply side, global stockpiles of copper are expected to fall to an all-time low this year on top of the nearly 22% decline in inventories in 2010.

    Analysts predict that the global refined-copper market may experience a deficit of 500,000 tons to 600,000 tons in 2011. Various bank analysts and executives from copper producer Freeport-McMoRan have stated that low ore grades and scarce new resources will dwindle supplies. Australia's Macquarie Bank estimates that 2011's shortage may be the largest since 2004.

    On the demand side, continued emerging market growth is one of the main factors in copper investment. Analysts at Barclay's estimate that China currently accounts for 40% of global copper demand. However, its per capita use is still 10 years behind the average developed Asian economy.

    As China matures, its copper consumption will need to rise to 20 million tons. The current annual total worldwide production of copper is only about 16 million tons. India's copper demand is set to grow by 7-11% through 2011, as it expands its energy transmission architecture. In addition, many analysts see potential new future demand for copper by hospitals due to its antibacterial qualities. This new source of demand is estimated to be in the hundreds of thousands of tons.

    All of this bullishness for the industrial metal has many analysts upping their price targets for copper for 2011. Macquarie estimates that copper throughout the year will average $11,025 a metric ton, a 32% increase on its previous estimate. Morgan Stanley also increased its price targets for the metal through 2015. Analysts there predict prices will average $4.45 a pound in 2011.

    Copper prices are currently trading at around $9,350 a tonne (£5,647).

    Cashing in on copper's red hot streak

    With copper prices continuing to surge, investors with a longer term profile may want to consider the red hot metal for their portfolio. There are plenty of ways to access the metal from a variety of angles.

    An exchange traded fund lets you effectively buy and sell exposure to copper on the stock market. However, there are other ways to get exposure.

    Copper is, after all, a natural resource that has to be dug out of the ground. As such you could look to invest in companies that mine it. In the UK First Quantum Materials (FQM.L) has a heavy exposure to copper prices and is rated as a "strong buy" by analysts, while mining giant Rio Tinto (RIO.L) extracts copper among other metals and is also favoured strongly by stock analysts.

    If you don't want to concentrate on a single stock, you could consider the BFG World Mining fund, which invests in a string of mining companies across the world — including First Quantum and Rio Tinto.

    [Useful: Open a share trading account]

    Bottom line

    While gold and silver get all the attention, the long-term base metals rally chugs on with copper as the star of the show. Despite the run up in copper prices throughout 2010, the metal will undergo a major supply-demand deficit going forward.

    With improvements in global infrastructure increasing at a rapid pace, investors should consider adding some copper exposure to their portfolios.

    More from Investopedia

    Stock-picking strategies

    The copper king: An empire built on manipulation

    5 essential things you need to know about every stock you buy

     

    2 comments

    • Secularbrit  •  London, England  •  3 months ago
      Why invest when it is so easy to steal and the penalties are derisory in relation to the cost and inconvenience so caused. Sentences should start in double figures for both the primary thief and the receivers.
    • Tom  •  3 months ago
      Stealing copper - even from an ancient church roof is, nothing, I mean nothing compared to the hideous criminality of mining companies causing devastation, degradation, violence and horror in the heart of Africa to obtain the stuff. Places like Guinea and the Congo are reversing the laws protecting their most precious assets so that entire mountains, forests along with their resident communities of humans can be destroyed and liquidated in a manner that would make an angel weep - we act like someone stealing cable from a private train company is bad but as Thatcher taught us any government with natural resources doesnt need its people. So if you do follow this article's advice to invest in Rio Stinko please know what your buying into.