Advertisement
UK markets closed
  • FTSE 100

    8,213.49
    +41.34 (+0.51%)
     
  • FTSE 250

    20,164.54
    +112.21 (+0.56%)
     
  • AIM

    771.53
    +3.42 (+0.45%)
     
  • GBP/EUR

    1.1652
    -0.0031 (-0.26%)
     
  • GBP/USD

    1.2546
    +0.0013 (+0.11%)
     
  • Bitcoin GBP

    50,356.34
    +2,971.46 (+6.27%)
     
  • CMC Crypto 200

    1,365.58
    +88.60 (+6.94%)
     
  • S&P 500

    5,127.79
    +63.59 (+1.26%)
     
  • DOW

    38,675.68
    +450.02 (+1.18%)
     
  • CRUDE OIL

    77.99
    -0.96 (-1.22%)
     
  • GOLD FUTURES

    2,310.10
    +0.50 (+0.02%)
     
  • NIKKEI 225

    38,236.07
    -37.98 (-0.10%)
     
  • HANG SENG

    18,475.92
    +268.79 (+1.48%)
     
  • DAX

    18,001.60
    +105.10 (+0.59%)
     
  • CAC 40

    7,957.57
    +42.92 (+0.54%)
     

GLOBAL MARKETS-Soothing Fed sounds send shares, emerging markets higher

* European shares, Japan's Nikkei hits 3-month peak

* Fed minutes reaffirm Dec hike, cautious on further moves

* Dollar eases from highs, EM rallies

* Bank of Japan maintains stimulus

* ECB minutes point to December QE expansion

By Marc Jones

LONDON, Nov 19 (Reuters) - World shares rallied and the dollar dipped on Thursday, after the Federal Reserve flagged a rate hike next month, but also an intention proceed slowly and steadily after that.

The pick-up in risk sentiment combined with the dip in the dollar gave commodities a brief reprieve from recent selling, with oil, copper and other industrial metals and gold up for a while before losing their traction.

ADVERTISEMENT

European stocks also performed strongly with the FTSEurofirst 300 pushed to a three-month high by 0.8 to 1.6 percent gains in London, Frankfurt and Paris, after Japan's Nikkei had hit a similar peak in Asia.

Minutes of the Fed's last policy meeting showed most members were ready to sanction the bank's first rise in rates in almost a decade in December as long as further moves then depended on the economy continuing to perform well.

It (Other OTC: ITGL - news) was a cautious enough message to ease any concerns that the U.S (Other OTC: UBGXF - news) . central bank might over eager with its rate rises and torpedo what is already relatively lacklustre growth in the world's largest economy.

"We have had an interesting FOMC minutes and risk assets have rallied across the board with the dollar weaker and EM leading the way," said Alvin Tax an FX strategist at Societe Generale in London.

"That is the success of the Fed really. We expect they will hike in December but then proceed slowly after that and that has soothed markets."

Futures prices pointed to Wall Street's main S&P 500, Dow Jones Industrial and Nasdaq (NasdaqGS: NDAQ - news) markets adding around 0.4 percent to the sharp 1.4 - 1.6 percent gains they had made on Wednesday.

The earlier leaps across Asia meant MSCI (NYSE: MSCI - news) 's benchmark emerging market share index, which is up 10 percent since late August, was on course for its best day in a month and the 45-country All World equivalent was up for a fourth straight day.

Bond markets also seemed to have got the message that there was be no post-December rush on rates from the Fed.

Longer-term debt outperformed and the yield curve flattened noticeably. While two-year yields rose 3 basis points, those on 30-year paper actually dipped a basis point.

Yields were lower across most of Europe and Asia too. The premium offered by U.S. two-year debt over its German counterpart yawned out to 124 basis points, the fattest margin since 2006 and a positive for the dollar.

However, being long dollars has been a very crowded trade and investors decided to book some profits in the wake of the Fed minutes. Against a basket of currencies the dollar dipped 0.5 percent and away from a seven-month peak.

The euro edged back above $1.07 and off a seven-month trough around $1.0615. The dollar also eased against the yen to 123.09, after touching a three-month peak of 123.67.

COMMODITY RELIEF

U.S. traders were readying themselves for what is expected to be a minor fall in jobless claims figures due at 8:30 a.m. ET (1330 GMT) as well as speeches from heavyweight Fed members, Vice Chair Stanley Fischer and Atlanta Fed President Dennis Lockhart.

Minutes of the European Central Bank's last policy meeting reinforced expectations of further easing from Frankfurt next month just as the Fed is gearing up to raise U.S. interest rates.

Peter Praet, the ECB's chief economist, also kept up the speculation that the bank's 'deposit rate' could go even deeper into negative territory, saying in a speech that the so-called "zero lower bound" was lower than most experts had originally thought.

In Asia overnight, the Bank of Japan surprised no one at its regular policy meeting by maintaining the current pace of asset buying, though many still suspect it will have to ease again at some point to force inflation higher.

Tokyo's Nikkei firmed 1 percent, brushing aside a disappointing report on exports and imports, while

MSCI's broadest index of Asia-Pacific shares outside Japan rose 2 percent led by Australia.

After a slow start, Chinese markets caught the better mood and the CSI300 index of the largest listed companies in Shanghai and Shenzhen added 1.6 percent.

In commodity markets, gold added 0.6 percent to $1,077.20 an ounce having been at its lowest since early 2010. Zinc, copper, lead and nickel were all near their lowest in five to seven years.

Oil prices rose from three-month lows on short-covering but began to slip back again ahead of U.S. trading. U.S. crude was a shade lower at $40.40 a barrel with Brent at $44.08.

"People are seeing oil at these very low levels and so they want to step in," said Hans van Cleef, senior energy economist at ABN Amro in Amsterdam. "But the oversupply is capping gains."

(Reporting by Marc Jones; Editing by Toby Chopra)