Iron ore at two-year low as China traders desert market
* Mills destocking in absence of positive economic news
* Iron ore prices could see further falls - trader
* NDRC calls for more transparent pricing mechanisms
By David Stanway
BEIJING, Sept 3 (Reuters) - Iron ore prices have fallen to
their lowest point in two years as cash-strapped Chinese traders
desert the market amid flagging property sales and a growing
supply glut.
Traders continue to await fresh measures from the central
government either to stimulate the economy or close down poorly
performing steel mills.
"My personal point of view is that the market is still in a
destocking phase and prices still have room to fall further,"
said a steel and iron ore trader based in the eastern Chinese
province of Zhejiang.
"Overcapacity is still the major problem and it can only be
tackled by reducing supply or raising demand," he said.
Benchmark 62 percent iron ore for immediate delivery into
China fell another 0.5 percent to $86.70 per
tonne on Tuesday, matching the lowest point of a price fall in
September 2012. Iron ore has fallen nearly 36 percent since the
turn of the year.
The most traded rebar contract on the Shanghai Futures
Exchange also continued its long plunge on Wednesday
morning, hitting a new low of 2,876 yuan per tonne, down 1.2
percent. The most active iron ore contract on the Dalian
Commodity Exchange finished at 616 yuan per tonne,
down 1.6 percent.
Big supply increases from Australia have raised the
country's share of China's total iron ore imports to 57 percent
in the first seven months of 2014, up from 51 percent last year,
the main reason why prices have fallen so rapidly.
"Structurally, prices have adjusted lower because we have
this big surge of new supply coming in that has displaced some
of the other tonnage - this has reset the average price level
for iron ore," said Graeme Train, analyst with Macquarie in
Shanghai.
"We saw a build-up in inventory throughout the supply chain
earlier this year, but now the macro data has peaked, mills and
traders are letting their inventory go. These up and down
movements are occurring around an average that is much lower
than before."
The National Development and Reform Commission (NDRC),
China's state planning agency, urged miner BHP Billiton (NYSE: BBL - news)
in a meeting this week to improve the transparency of its
pricing system and cooperate more with Chinese enterprises when
it came to setting prices.
"Amid changes in the relationship between iron ore supply
and demand and as prices enter into a declining phase, (we)
should proactively seek new pricing methods," the NDRC quoted an
official as saying at the meeting.
Rebar and iron ore prices at 0345 GMT
Contract Last Change Pct Change
SHFE REBAR JAN5 2876 -35.00 -1.20
DALIAN IRON ORE DCE DCIO JAN5 616 -10.00 -1.60
THE STEEL INDEX 62 PCT INDEX 86.7 -0.40 -0.46
METAL BULLETIN INDEX 87.4 -0.22 -0.25
Dalian iron ore and Shanghai rebar in yuan/tonne
Index in dollars/tonne, show close for the previous trading day
(Editing by Richard Pullin)