Advertisement
UK markets closed
  • NIKKEI 225

    37,552.16
    +113.55 (+0.30%)
     
  • HANG SENG

    16,828.93
    +317.24 (+1.92%)
     
  • CRUDE OIL

    82.92
    +1.02 (+1.25%)
     
  • GOLD FUTURES

    2,339.30
    -7.10 (-0.30%)
     
  • DOW

    38,479.23
    +239.25 (+0.63%)
     
  • Bitcoin GBP

    53,629.72
    +252.37 (+0.47%)
     
  • CMC Crypto 200

    1,433.97
    +19.21 (+1.36%)
     
  • NASDAQ Composite

    15,685.08
    +233.78 (+1.51%)
     
  • UK FTSE All Share

    4,378.75
    +16.15 (+0.37%)
     

Is Air China Limited’s (HKG:753) ROE Of 6.5% Concerning?

While some investors are already well versed in financial metrics (hat tip), this article is for those who would like to learn about Return On Equity (ROE) and why it is important. By way of learning-by-doing, we’ll look at ROE to gain a better understanding Air China Limited (HKG:753).

Over the last twelve months Air China has recorded a ROE of 6.5%. That means that for every HK$1 worth of shareholders’ equity, it generated HK$0.065 in profit.

View our latest analysis for Air China

How Do I Calculate Return On Equity?

The formula for ROE is:

Return on Equity = Net Profit ÷ Shareholders’ Equity

ADVERTISEMENT

Or for Air China:

6.5% = 5899.212 ÷ CN¥103b (Based on the trailing twelve months to September 2018.)

Most readers would understand what net profit is, but it’s worth explaining the concept of shareholders’ equity. It is all earnings retained by the company, plus any capital paid in by shareholders. The easiest way to calculate shareholders’ equity is to subtract the company’s total liabilities from the total assets.

What Does ROE Signify?

ROE looks at the amount a company earns relative to the money it has kept within the business. The ‘return’ is the amount earned after tax over the last twelve months. The higher the ROE, the more profit the company is making. So, all else being equal, a high ROE is better than a low one. That means ROE can be used to compare two businesses.

Does Air China Have A Good Return On Equity?

One simple way to determine if a company has a good return on equity is to compare it to the average for its industry. The limitation of this approach is that some companies are quite different from others, even within the same industry classification. If you look at the image below, you can see Air China has a lower ROE than the average (20%) in the airlines industry classification.

SEHK:753 Last Perf December 11th 18
SEHK:753 Last Perf December 11th 18

That certainly isn’t ideal. It is better when the ROE is above industry average, but a low one doesn’t necessarily mean the business is overpriced. Still, shareholders might want to check if insiders have been selling.

How Does Debt Impact ROE?

Most companies need money — from somewhere — to grow their profits. That cash can come from retained earnings, issuing new shares (equity), or debt. In the first two cases, the ROE will capture this use of capital to grow. In the latter case, the use of debt will improve the returns, but will not change the equity. In this manner the use of debt will boost ROE, even though the core economics of the business stay the same.

Air China’s Debt And Its 6.5% ROE

While Air China does have some debt, with debt to equity of just 0.83, we wouldn’t say debt is excessive. Its ROE isn’t particularly impressive, but the debt levels are quite modest, so the business probably has some real potential. Judicious use of debt to improve returns can certainly be a good thing, although it does elevate risk slightly and reduce future optionality.

But It’s Just One Metric

Return on equity is one way we can compare the business quality of different companies. In my book the highest quality companies have high return on equity, despite low debt. If two companies have around the same level of debt to equity, and one has a higher ROE, I’d generally prefer the one with higher ROE.

But when a business is high quality, the market often bids it up to a price that reflects this. The rate at which profits are likely to grow, relative to the expectations of profit growth reflected in the current price, must be considered, too. So you might want to check this FREE visualization of analyst forecasts for the company.

But note: Air China may not be the best stock to buy. So take a peek at this free list of interesting companies with high ROE and low debt.

To help readers see past the short term volatility of the financial market, we aim to bring you a long-term focused research analysis purely driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis does not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements.

The author is an independent contributor and at the time of publication had no position in the stocks mentioned. For errors that warrant correction please contact the editor at editorial-team@simplywallst.com.