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Alibaba (BABA) Gains But Lags Market: What You Should Know

Alibaba (BABA) closed at $80.45 in the latest trading session, marking a +0.58% move from the prior day. This change lagged the S&P 500's 2.59% gain on the day. At the same time, the Dow added 2.66%, and the tech-heavy Nasdaq gained 0.07%.

Coming into today, shares of the online retailer had lost 12.87% in the past month. In that same time, the Retail-Wholesale sector lost 8.35%, while the S&P 500 lost 9.22%.

Investors will be hoping for strength from Alibaba as it approaches its next earnings release. In that report, analysts expect Alibaba to post earnings of $1.65 per share. This would mark a year-over-year decline of 5.17%. Meanwhile, the Zacks Consensus Estimate for revenue is projecting net sales of $31.89 billion, up 2.39% from the year-ago period.

BABA's full-year Zacks Consensus Estimates are calling for earnings of $7.64 per share and revenue of $133.63 billion. These results would represent year-over-year changes of -8.06% and +0.27%, respectively.

Investors should also note any recent changes to analyst estimates for Alibaba. These revisions typically reflect the latest short-term business trends, which can change frequently. As a result, we can interpret positive estimate revisions as a good sign for the company's business outlook.

Our research shows that these estimate changes are directly correlated with near-term stock prices. Investors can capitalize on this by using the Zacks Rank. This model considers these estimate changes and provides a simple, actionable rating system.

Ranging from #1 (Strong Buy) to #5 (Strong Sell), the Zacks Rank system has a proven, outside-audited track record of outperformance, with #1 stocks returning an average of +25% annually since 1988. Over the past month, the Zacks Consensus EPS estimate remained stagnant. Alibaba is currently sporting a Zacks Rank of #3 (Hold).

Valuation is also important, so investors should note that Alibaba has a Forward P/E ratio of 10.47 right now. This valuation marks a discount compared to its industry's average Forward P/E of 22.45.

Investors should also note that BABA has a PEG ratio of 1.11 right now. This popular metric is similar to the widely-known P/E ratio, with the difference being that the PEG ratio also takes into account the company's expected earnings growth rate. Internet - Commerce stocks are, on average, holding a PEG ratio of 1.11 based on yesterday's closing prices.

The Internet - Commerce industry is part of the Retail-Wholesale sector. This industry currently has a Zacks Industry Rank of 141, which puts it in the bottom 45% of all 250+ industries.

The Zacks Industry Rank gauges the strength of our industry groups by measuring the average Zacks Rank of the individual stocks within the groups. Our research shows that the top 50% rated industries outperform the bottom half by a factor of 2 to 1.

To follow BABA in the coming trading sessions, be sure to utilize Zacks.com.


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