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Is Altus Strategies plc (LON:ALS) Growing Too Fast?

Trailing twelve-month data shows us that Altus Strategies plc's (LON:ALS) earnings loss has accumulated to -UK£1.3m. Although some investors expected this, their belief in the path to profitability for Altus Strategies may be wavering. Savvy investors should always reassess the situation of loss-making companies frequently, and keep informed about whether or not these businesses are in a strong cash position. Selling new shares may dilute the value of existing shares on issue, and since Altus Strategies is currently burning more cash than it is making, it’s likely the business will need funding for future growth. Looking at Altus Strategies’s latest financial data, I will estimate when the company may run out of cash and need to raise more money.

See our latest analysis for Altus Strategies

What is cash burn?

Currently, Altus Strategies has UK£198k in cash holdings and producing negative free cash flow of -UK£1.8m. Companies with high cash burn rates can eventually turn into ashes, which makes it the biggest risk an investor in loss-making companies face. Furthermore, it is not uncommon to find loss-makers in an industry such as metals and mining. Although these companies can be unprofitable now, they tend to take on project-work, which can payoff sometime in the future.

AIM:ALS Income Statement, September 19th 2019
AIM:ALS Income Statement, September 19th 2019

When will Altus Strategies need to raise more cash?

One way to measure the cost to Altus Strategies of keeping the business running, is by using free cash flow (which I define as cash flow from operations minus fixed capital investment).

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Free cash outflows declined by 40% over the past year, which could be an indication of Altus Strategies putting the brakes on ramping up high growth. However, the current level of cash is not enough to sustain Altus Strategies’s operations and the company may need to raise more capital within the year. Although this is a relatively simplistic calculation, and Altus Strategies may continue to reduce its costs further or borrow money instead of raising new equity capital, the outcome of this analysis still helps us understand how sustainable the Altus Strategies operation is, and when things may have to change.

Next Steps:

Loss-making companies are a risky play, even those that are reducing their cash burn over time. Though, this shouldn’t discourage you from considering entering the stock in the future. The cash burn analysis result indicates a cash constraint for the company, due to its current level of cash reserves. The potential equity raising resulting from this means you might be able to get shares at a lower price if the company raises capital next. Keep in mind I haven't considered other factors such as how ALS is expected to perform in the future. I recommend you continue to research Altus Strategies to get a better picture of the company by looking at:

  1. Historical Performance: What has ALS's returns been like over the past? Go into more detail in the past track record analysis and take a look at the free visual representations of our analysis for more clarity.

  2. Management Team: An experienced management team on the helm increases our confidence in the business – take a look at who sits on Altus Strategies’s board and the CEO’s back ground.

  3. Other High-Performing Stocks: If you believe you should cushion your portfolio with something less risky, scroll through our free list of these great stocks here.

NB: Figures in this article are calculated using data from the trailing twelve months from 30 June 2019. This may not be consistent with full year annual report figures. Operating expenses include only SG&A and one-year R&D.

We aim to bring you long-term focused research analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material.

If you spot an error that warrants correction, please contact the editor at editorial-team@simplywallst.com. This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. Simply Wall St has no position in the stocks mentioned. Thank you for reading.