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Bellicum Pharmaceuticals Stock Shows Every Sign Of Being Significantly Overvalued

- By GF Value

The stock of Bellicum Pharmaceuticals (NAS:BLCM, 30-year Financials) shows every sign of being significantly overvalued, according to GuruFocus Value calculation. GuruFocus Value is GuruFocus' estimate of the fair value at which the stock should be traded. It is calculated based on the historical multiples that the stock has traded at, the past business growth and analyst estimates of future business performance. If the price of a stock is significantly above the GF Value Line, it is overvalued and its future return is likely to be poor. On the other hand, if it is significantly below the GF Value Line, its future return will likely be higher. At its current price of $3.2 per share and the market cap of $26.6 million, Bellicum Pharmaceuticals stock shows every sign of being significantly overvalued. GF Value for Bellicum Pharmaceuticals is shown in the chart below.


Bellicum Pharmaceuticals Stock Shows Every Sign Of Being Significantly Overvalued
Bellicum Pharmaceuticals Stock Shows Every Sign Of Being Significantly Overvalued

Because Bellicum Pharmaceuticals is significantly overvalued, the long-term return of its stock is likely to be much lower than its future business growth, which averaged 14.5% over the past five years.

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Companies with poor financial strength offer investors a high risk of permanent capital loss. To avoid permanent capital loss, an investor must do their research and review a company's financial strength before deciding to purchase shares. Both the cash-to-debt ratio and interest coverage of a company are a great way to to understand its financial strength. Bellicum Pharmaceuticals has a cash-to-debt ratio of 30.36, which which ranks in the middle range of the companies in Biotechnology industry. The overall financial strength of Bellicum Pharmaceuticals is 2 out of 10, which indicates that the financial strength of Bellicum Pharmaceuticals is poor. This is the debt and cash of Bellicum Pharmaceuticals over the past years:

Bellicum Pharmaceuticals Stock Shows Every Sign Of Being Significantly Overvalued
Bellicum Pharmaceuticals Stock Shows Every Sign Of Being Significantly Overvalued

Investing in profitable companies carries less risk, especially in companies that have demonstrated consistent profitability over the long term. Typically, a company with high profit margins offers better performance potential than a company with low profit margins. Bellicum Pharmaceuticals has been profitable 0 years over the past 10 years. During the past 12 months, the company had revenues of $0.5 million and loss of $6.66 a share. Its operating margin of -10816.60% in the bottom 10% of the companies in Biotechnology industry. Overall, GuruFocus ranks Bellicum Pharmaceuticals's profitability as poor. This is the revenue and net income of Bellicum Pharmaceuticals over the past years:

Bellicum Pharmaceuticals Stock Shows Every Sign Of Being Significantly Overvalued
Bellicum Pharmaceuticals Stock Shows Every Sign Of Being Significantly Overvalued

Growth is probably the most important factor in the valuation of a company. GuruFocus research has found that growth is closely correlated with the long term stock performance of a company. A faster growing company creates more value for shareholders, especially if the growth is profitable. The 3-year average annual revenue growth of Bellicum Pharmaceuticals is 14.5%, which ranks better than 67% of the companies in Biotechnology industry. The 3-year average EBITDA growth rate is 72.5%, which ranks better than 96% of the companies in Biotechnology industry.

Another way to look at the profitability of a company is to compare its return on invested capital and the weighted cost of capital. Return on invested capital (ROIC) measures how well a company generates cash flow relative to the capital it has invested in its business. The weighted average cost of capital (WACC) is the rate that a company is expected to pay on average to all its security holders to finance its assets. We want to have the return on invested capital higher than the weighted cost of capital. For the past 12 months, Bellicum Pharmaceuticals's return on invested capital is -90.36, and its cost of capital is 13.92. The historical ROIC vs WACC comparison of Bellicum Pharmaceuticals is shown below:

Bellicum Pharmaceuticals Stock Shows Every Sign Of Being Significantly Overvalued
Bellicum Pharmaceuticals Stock Shows Every Sign Of Being Significantly Overvalued

In closing, the stock of Bellicum Pharmaceuticals (NAS:BLCM, 30-year Financials) is estimated to be significantly overvalued. The company's financial condition is poor and its profitability is poor. Its growth ranks better than 96% of the companies in Biotechnology industry. To learn more about Bellicum Pharmaceuticals stock, you can check out its 30-year Financials here.

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This article first appeared on GuruFocus.