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Brexit is stalling Britain's spending boom

A worker sells strawberries on the market stall formerly owned by the parents of former Leicester City player Gary Lineker in Leicester, Britain April 20, 2016. Leicester City's Premier League title dream became reality on Monday as their only remaining challengers Tottenham Hotspur drew 2-2 at Chelsea to complete one of the greatest ever sporting achievements.The Foxes' Premier League campaign has captivated fans in the provincial English city as well as sports fans worldwide. REUTERS/Darren Staples

Reuters / Darren Staples

LONDON — The confidence of British consumers dropped further in February, raising fears about the continued ability of household spending to sustain Britain's economy.

Market research firm GfK's overall consumer confidence index — which measures the degree of optimism British consumers demonstrate through their spending and saving — dropped by a point over February to -6.

The index was down one point from January and six points year-on-year.

Although the index score is still well above its long-term average — it fell below -30 in 2011 — it has been on a downward trend since October, in a sign that Brexit-induced inflation and stagnant wage growth are beginning to bite.

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Domestic consumption accounts for a large chunk of the UK's GDP, and Britain's economy is "extremely vulnerable" to a slowdown in households' spending, according to a note from Samuel Tombs, chief UK economist at Pantheon Macroeconomics.

Joe Staton, head of market dynamics at GfK, said: "Against a backdrop of rising food and fuel prices, sterling depreciation, nominal earnings growth and a burgeoning fear of rapid inflation, concern about our personal financial situation for 2017 has contributed to a drop in UK consumer confidence this month (to -6)."

"Any momentum behind the post-Brexit, debt-fuelled, consumer-spending boom now appears to be softening."

Take a look at the full breakdown from the index:

Screen Shot 2017 02 28 at 08.54.54
Screen Shot 2017 02 28 at 08.54.54

GfK

The Major Purchase Index, which measures households' plans for expensive purchases such as cars and washing machines, by five points, a sign that households are increasingly worried about long-term personal finances.

Staton said: "Mounting pressures on disposable income are starting to bite as witnessed by two months of falling retail sales (ONS) and a further drop in the Major Purchase Index. Consumer spending continues to drive economic growth in the UK so any further fall in confidence could support forecasts for a slowdown of the overall economy this year."

 

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