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Budget: Pound soars as Jeremy Hunt says recession threat is over

One Euro and British pound coins are seen in this illustration taken, November 9, 2021. REUTERS/Dado Ruvic/Illustration
The pound has jumped against the euro after the Spring budget. Photo: Dado Ruvic/Reuters (Dado Ruvic / reuters)

The pound (GBPEUR=X) soared against the euro as chancellor Jeremy Hunt delivered his Spring budget.

Hunt announced a series of measures to try and boost UK economic growth as he said the recession threat is over.

Analysts were more optimistic around this budget, as a repeat of last September's volatility when then finance minister Kwasi Kwarteng announced uncosted spending plans, sending the pound to a record low, was not in the cards.

Read more: Budget 2023: Jeremy Hunt unveils spring statement as he says UK will avoid recession

The pound was up 1.2% against a weaker euro at €1.1461 as the chancellor revealed that the UK will not go into recession this year as the Office of Budget Responsibility (OBR) forecast that inflation will fall to 2.9%.

“Other factors are taking precedent but in any case, this budget is likely to be engineered to be pretty dull,” Rabobank’s Jane Foley said.

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“Other events have stolen the headlines but this was never likely going to be a headline reaching budget anyway.”

The fall in inflation will be aided by the government's decision to freeze the Energy Price Guarantee, ensuring the typical household energy bills will remain at £2,500 a year.

Read more: Childcare, pensions, tax, benefits — the key takeaways from Jeremy Hunt's statement

"We doubt the budget today will spur a meaningful positive or negative reaction in the pound," said George Vessey, FX and macro strategist at Convera.

However, the pound (GBPUSD=X) edged lower against the dollar on Wednesday, but remained close to a one-month high.

The pound was down 0.6% against a broadly stronger dollar at $1.2074, having hit a one-month high of $1.2203 on Tuesday.

Read more: Budget 2023: UK will not enter recession, OBR forecasts

The drop in Credit Suisse (CS) shares triggered demand for the safe-haven dollar and away from high-beta currencies such as the pound.

Watch: Key points from Jeremy Hunt's Spring budget 2023

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