Canadian oil surges as wildfire knocks out more production
* At least four producers cut output
* June WCS trades at $11.50/bbl below WTI
(Updates throughout, changes prices, adds details of activity
in Canada, quotes, adds byline)
By David Gaffen
NEW YORK, May 5 (Reuters) - Canadian crude prices hit their
highest levels in nearly a year on Thursday, as a raging
wildfire in northern Alberta shuttered nearly one-third of the
nation's oil sands production and closed key pipelines, raising
concerns about temporary shortages.
At least 680,000 barrels per day of crude output is offline,
according to Reuters calculations, out of Canada's total oil
sands production of 2.2 million barrels a day, though some
operators, including Syncrude, have not disclosed how much
production has been shut.
The light synthetic crude grade from the oil sands for May
delivery doubled to a premium of $7.10 a barrel over
West Texas crude in thin volume on Thursday, according to
Shorcan, up from the previous settlement at $3.50 a barrel.
That was the largest premium to the U.S (Other OTC: UBGXF - news) . benchmark since
June of last year, a sign of concern about a short-term supply
crunch even as the U.S. market remains awash with material.
So far, the wildfire has forced eight oil sands operators,
including Suncor Energy Inc (Toronto: SU.TO - news) , Shell Canada and
others to reduce production and evacuate operations near the
city of Fort McMurray on Thursday as the massive blaze spread
south. Officials said they expected the fire to grow later in
the day.
The wildfire also stymied transportation of crude and
feedstocks normally delivered via trains, pipelines and roads
across the vast oil sands, which hold the world's third-largest
crude reserves after Saudi Arabia and Venezuela.
"These are pretty sizable numbers," said Mike Tran, energy
strategist at RBC Capital Markets. "How quick it returns is
based on how quickly they can get staffing back, given the
entire space has been evacuated."
The big cuts by some of the world's major producers boosted
prices, even as concerns about immediate supplies to refineries
across the border from Texas to Ohio that use its heavy crude
were limited due to record high inventories.
Western Canada Select heavy blend crude for June delivery
at one point traded at $11.50 a barrel under the
West Texas Intermediate benchmark, according to Shorcan Energy
brokers.
That was the narrowest discount since late February, and
significantly tighter than Wednesday's settlement of $12.70 a
barrel under U.S crude. WCS was last at $11.80 a barrel under
U.S. crude.
Earlier this week, the entire population of 88,000 people in
Fort McMurray was ordered to evacuate as the fire grew,
incinerating dozens of homes.
The forecast has called for cooler temperatures and a
possibility of rain, offering hope that controlling the blaze
could become easier.
More than 20 oil operations are clustered in a 100-kilometer
(60-mile) radius of the city, according to government data,
located within the Athabasca oil sands in Alberta.
"For U.S. balances, it potentially speeds up the rebalancing
process as it means refiners may need to draw down inventory" at
either the U.S. storage hub of Cushing, Oklahoma, or Patoka,
Illinois, said Dominic Haywood, an energy analyst at Energy
Aspects in London.
LIMITED FOR NOW
According to Genscape, which monitors key terminals in
Western Canada, including the critical locations at Edmonton and
Hardisty, total inventories were 26.5 million barrels at the end
of April.
That is equivalent to five weeks of the production currently
offline.
But some traders were concerned that the shutdown of several
Inter Pipeline (Toronto: IPL.TO - news) systems would affect supplies of other
feedstock and hurt output at operations far away from the fire.
Statoil ASA (LSE: 0M2Z.L - news) said Thursday that it had cut its
production at its Leismer oil sands project, about 120 km south
of Fort McMurray, by 50 percent due to diluent shortages as a
result of the pipeline shutdown.
Diluent, a thinning agent, is blended with bitumen, the
thick petroleum sourced in the oil sands necessary to produce
the Western Canadian benchmark
Several U.S. refiners contacted by Reuters that use Canadian
crude said so far they did not see an impact in terms of
deliveries. The U.S. imports about 3.5 million barrels of
Canadian crude per day.
The fire also caused a notable move in benchmark West Texas
crude, which rallied by as much 4 percent, fueling expectations
that the outages will erode the U.S. supply glut. Crude settled
at $44.32 a barrel, up 1.2 percent.
(Additional reporting by Catherine Ngai in New York, Erwin Seba
in Houston and Nia Williams in Calgary; Editing by Bernard Orr)