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Is China Nonferrous Gold (LON:CNG) Using Debt In A Risky Way?

Some say volatility, rather than debt, is the best way to think about risk as an investor, but Warren Buffett famously said that 'Volatility is far from synonymous with risk. So it seems the smart money knows that debt - which is usually involved in bankruptcies - is a very important factor, when you assess how risky a company is. As with many other companies China Nonferrous Gold Limited (LON:CNG) makes use of debt. But is this debt a concern to shareholders?

When Is Debt Dangerous?

Debt and other liabilities become risky for a business when it cannot easily fulfill those obligations, either with free cash flow or by raising capital at an attractive price. If things get really bad, the lenders can take control of the business. However, a more frequent (but still costly) occurrence is where a company must issue shares at bargain-basement prices, permanently diluting shareholders, just to shore up its balance sheet. By replacing dilution, though, debt can be an extremely good tool for businesses that need capital to invest in growth at high rates of return. When we think about a company's use of debt, we first look at cash and debt together.

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See our latest analysis for China Nonferrous Gold

How Much Debt Does China Nonferrous Gold Carry?

As you can see below, at the end of December 2018, China Nonferrous Gold had US$345.0m of debt, up from US$279.2m a year ago. Click the image for more detail. However, it does have US$8.36m in cash offsetting this, leading to net debt of about US$336.6m.

AIM:CNG Historical Debt, September 27th 2019
AIM:CNG Historical Debt, September 27th 2019

How Strong Is China Nonferrous Gold's Balance Sheet?

Zooming in on the latest balance sheet data, we can see that China Nonferrous Gold had liabilities of US$244.9m due within 12 months and liabilities of US$183.1m due beyond that. Offsetting this, it had US$8.36m in cash and US$244.3k in receivables that were due within 12 months. So its liabilities total US$419.4m more than the combination of its cash and short-term receivables.

The deficiency here weighs heavily on the US$100.2m company itself, as if a child were struggling under the weight of an enormous back-pack full of books, his sports gear, and a trumpet." So we definitely think shareholders need to watch this one closely. After all, China Nonferrous Gold would likely require a major re-capitalisation if it had to pay its creditors today. The balance sheet is clearly the area to focus on when you are analysing debt. But it is China Nonferrous Gold's earnings that will influence how the balance sheet holds up in the future. So if you're keen to discover more about its earnings, it might be worth checking out this graph of its long term earnings trend.

Over 12 months, China Nonferrous Gold reported revenue of US$18m, which is a gain of 210%, although it did not report any earnings before interest and tax. When it comes to revenue growth, that's like nailing the game winning 3-pointer!

Caveat Emptor

Despite the top line growth, China Nonferrous Gold still had negative earnings before interest and tax (EBIT), over the last year. Indeed, it lost US$3.4m at the EBIT level. Combining this information with the significant liabilities we already touched on makes us very hesitant about this stock, to say the least. That said, it is possible that the company will turn its fortunes around. But we think that is unlikely, given it is low on liquid assets, and burned through US$45m in the last year. So we consider this a high risk stock and we wouldn't be at all surprised if the company asks shareholders for money before long. For riskier companies like China Nonferrous Gold I always like to keep an eye on the long term profit and revenue trends. Fortunately, you can click to see our interactive graph of its profit, revenue, and operating cashflow.

If, after all that, you're more interested in a fast growing company with a rock-solid balance sheet, then check out our list of net cash growth stocks without delay.

We aim to bring you long-term focused research analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material.

If you spot an error that warrants correction, please contact the editor at editorial-team@simplywallst.com. This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. Simply Wall St has no position in the stocks mentioned. Thank you for reading.