Advertisement
UK markets open in 12 minutes
  • NIKKEI 225

    38,835.10
    +599.03 (+1.57%)
     
  • HANG SENG

    18,430.39
    -147.91 (-0.80%)
     
  • CRUDE OIL

    78.56
    +0.08 (+0.10%)
     
  • GOLD FUTURES

    2,329.00
    -2.20 (-0.09%)
     
  • DOW

    38,852.27
    +176.59 (+0.46%)
     
  • Bitcoin GBP

    50,770.41
    -434.02 (-0.85%)
     
  • CMC Crypto 200

    1,364.74
    -0.39 (-0.03%)
     
  • NASDAQ Composite

    16,349.25
    +192.92 (+1.19%)
     
  • UK FTSE All Share

    4,469.09
    +22.94 (+0.52%)
     

Should You Be Concerned About Sportech PLC’s (LON:SPO) Historical Volatility?

Want to participate in a short research study? Help shape the future of investing tools and you could win a $250 gift card!

If you’re interested in Sportech PLC (LON:SPO), then you might want to consider its beta (a measure of share price volatility) in order to understand how the stock could impact your portfolio. Volatility is considered to be a measure of risk in modern finance theory. Investors may think of volatility as falling into two main categories. First, we have company specific volatility, which is the price gyrations of an individual stock. Holding at least 8 stocks can reduce this kind of risk across a portfolio. The second type is the broader market volatility, which you cannot diversify away, since it arises from macroeconomic factors which directly affects all the stocks on the market.

Some stocks see their prices move in concert with the market. Others tend towards stronger, gentler or unrelated price movements. Beta can be a useful tool to understand how much a stock is influenced by market risk (volatility). However, Warren Buffett said ‘volatility is far from synonymous with risk’ in his 2014 letter to investors. So, while useful, beta is not the only metric to consider. To use beta as an investor, you must first understand that the overall market has a beta of one. A stock with a beta below one is either less volatile than the market, or more volatile but not corellated with the overall market. In comparison a stock with a beta of over one tends to be move in a similar direction to the market in the long term, but with greater changes in price.

ADVERTISEMENT

View our latest analysis for Sportech

What SPO’s beta value tells investors

Sportech has a five-year beta of 0.95. This is reasonably close to the market beta of 1, so the stock has in the past displayed similar levels of volatility to the overall market. Using history as a guide, we might surmise that the share price is likely to be influenced by market voltility going forward but it probably won’t be particularly sensitive to it. Beta is worth considering, but it’s also important to consider whether Sportech is growing earnings and revenue. You can take a look for yourself, below.

LSE:SPO Income Statement Export February 12th 19
LSE:SPO Income Statement Export February 12th 19

How does SPO’s size impact its beta?

Sportech is a noticeably small company, with a market capitalisation of UK£66m. Most companies this size are not always actively traded. It doesn’t take much money to really move the share price of a company as small as this one. That makes it somewhat unusual that it has a beta value so close to the overall market.

What this means for you:

Since Sportech has a beta close to one, it will probably show a positive return when the market is moving up, based on history. If you’re trying to generate better returns than the market, it would be worth thinking about other metrics such as cashflows, dividends and revenue growth might be a more useful guide to the future. In order to fully understand whether SPO is a good investment for you, we also need to consider important company-specific fundamentals such as Sportech’s financial health and performance track record. I highly recommend you dive deeper by considering the following:

  1. Future Outlook: What are well-informed industry analysts predicting for SPO’s future growth? Take a look at our free research report of analyst consensus for SPO’s outlook.

  2. Past Track Record: Has SPO been consistently performing well irrespective of the ups and downs in the market? Go into more detail in the past performance analysis and take a look at the free visual representations of SPO’s historicals for more clarity.

  3. Other Interesting Stocks: It’s worth checking to see how SPO measures up against other companies on valuation. You could start with this free list of prospective options.

To help readers see past the short term volatility of the financial market, we aim to bring you a long-term focused research analysis purely driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis does not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements.

The author is an independent contributor and at the time of publication had no position in the stocks mentioned. For errors that warrant correction please contact the editor at editorial-team@simplywallst.com.