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Constellation Brands (STZ) Q1 Earnings & Sales Beat Estimates

Constellation Brands Inc. STZ has reported a solid start to fiscal 2023, with better-than-expected sales and earnings in the fiscal first quarter. The metrics also improved year over year. Results benefited from strong consumer demand for its portfolio of premium, high-end products. Also, double-digit net sales and operating income growth in the beer business aided the top and bottom lines.

Constellation Brands posted fiscal first-quarter comparable earnings of $2.66 per share, which advanced 14% year over year and beat the Zacks Consensus Estimate of $2.51. On a reported basis, the company’s earnings per share were $2.06, up 143% year over year. Excluding the impacts of Canopy Growth, it posted comparable earnings of $2.90 per share, up 16% from the year-ago period.

Net sales rose 17% to $2,363.2 million and surpassed the Zacks Consensus Estimate of $2,188 million. Sales benefited from robust growth in the beer business as well as improved sales in the wine and spirits business.

Constellation Brands Inc Price, Consensus and EPS Surprise

 

Constellation Brands Inc Price, Consensus and EPS Surprise
Constellation Brands Inc Price, Consensus and EPS Surprise

Constellation Brands Inc price-consensus-eps-surprise-chart | Constellation Brands Inc Quote

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The company’s beer business reported sales growth of 21% to $1,898.2 million, including a 17.3% increase in shipment volumes and 8.7% depletion growth. Sales growth for the segment was driven by robust consumer demand for its iconic brands. Depletion volume benefited from the continued robust performance of Modelo Especial and resilient growth in Corona Extra.

Depletion volume increased more than 15% for Modelo Especial and more than 4% for Corona Extra. Modelo Especial continued to be the No. 1 beer brand in the high-end category, strengthening its leadership position. It was also the largest share gainer in dollar sales in the U.S. beer category in IRI channels. Meanwhile, Corona Extra was the second-leading import share gainer and ranked the third brand in the high-end IRI channels.

Sales in the wine and spirits segment rose 2% to $465 million in the fiscal first quarter. Organic net sales for the segment grew 5%. The sales improvement was driven by shipment and depletion growth for the segment. Shipment volume in the wine and spirits business was up 1.5%, whereas depletions improved 1.2%. Depletion growth for the segment can be attributed to double-digit gains for Meiomi, The Prisoner Wine Company, High West Whiskey and Casa Noble Tequila.

Shares of this Zacks Rank #3 (Hold) company have risen 5.8% in the past three months against the industry’s growth of 4.5%.

 

Zacks Investment Research
Zacks Investment Research


Image Source: Zacks Investment Research

 

Margins

The adjusted gross profit grew 12% year over year to $1230.6 million. Meanwhile, the adjusted gross profit margin contracted 220 basis points (bps) to 52.1%.

Constellation Brands' comparable operating income rose 10% to $792.5 million, whereas the comparable operating margin contracted 220 bps to 33.5%.

The operating margin in the beer segment contracted 260 bps to 40.2% due to higher cost of goods sold (“COGS”), stemming from increased raw material, transportation, brewery and depreciation costs. This was partly offset by favorable pricing, positive foreign currency impacts, and reduced marketing and SG&A expense rate.

The wine and spirits segment’s operating margin contracted 330 bps to 19.6%, owing to a planned increase in marketing spend, higher SG&A expenses, and higher COGS stemming from elevated raw material and transportation costs. This was partly offset by gains from favorable pricing and mix.

Financial Position

As of May 31, 2022, Constellation Brands’ cash and cash equivalent were $101.8 million, with long-term debt (excluding current maturities) of $10,278.2 million and total shareholders’ equity (excluding non-controlling interest) of $11,231.4 million. The company generated an operating cash flow of $758.2 million and an adjusted free cash flow of $561.6 million as of May 31, 2022.

On Jun 29, 2022, the company announced a quarterly dividend of 80 cents per share for Class A stock and 72 cents for Class B stock. The dividend is payable on Aug 24 to its shareholders of record as of Aug 10.

Outlook

Following the first-quarter fiscal 2023 results, Constellation Brands updated its fiscal 2023 view. The company expects comparable earnings of $11.20-$11.50 on a comparable basis (excluding canopy growth impacts). The company expects earnings of $10.50-$10.80 per share on a reported basis compared with the $11.15-$11.45 mentioned earlier. These suggest improvements from comparable earnings (excluding canopy growth impacts) of $10.99 and a reported loss of 22 cents in the prior year.

Net sales are likely to increase 7-9% for the beer segment. Operating income is anticipated to increase 2-4%. The company expects net sales for the wine and spirits business to decline 1-3%, while the operating income is envisioned to grow 4-6%.

The company predicts interest expenses of $350-$360 million for fiscal 2023. Constellation Brands forecasts an operating cash flow of $2.6-$2.8 billion for fiscal 2023, whereas the free cash flow is estimated to be $1.3-$1.4 billion. The company plans to incur a capital expenditure of $1.3-$1.4 billion in fiscal 2023, including $1.2 million targeted for the Mexican beer operations’ expansion activities. The company expects the tax rate to be 21.5% on a reported basis and 20% on a comparable basis for fiscal 2023. It anticipates average diluted shares outstanding of 186.5 million.

The company outlined plans for incremental capacity expansion in Mexico to support growth in its high-end Mexican beer portfolio. It anticipates a total capital expenditure of $5-$5.5 billion for the beer business between fiscal 2023 and 2026. The latest expansion will support an additional capacity of 30 million hectoliters of modular capacity and includes the construction of a brewery in Southeast Mexico in Veracruz. It also targets continued expansion and the optimization of the existing Nava and Obregon breweries.

Here's How Better-Ranked Stocks Fared

We have highlighted three better-ranked stocks in the Consumer Staples sector, namely Archer Daniels Midland ADM, Fomento Economico Mexicano FMX and The Coca-Cola Company KO.

Archer Daniels, the Delaware, IL-based leading producer of food and beverage ingredients and goods made from various agricultural products, presently sports a Zacks Rank #1 (Strong Buy). The ADM stock has declined 14.4% in the past three months.

You can see the complete list of today’s Zacks #1 Rank stocks here.

The Zacks Consensus Estimate for Archer Daniels’ sales and EPS for the current financial year suggests growth of 12.3% and 22%, respectively, from the year-ago reported levels. The consensus mark for earnings has moved up 3.3% in the past 30 days. ADM has a trailing four-quarter earnings surprise of 22.3%, on average. It has an expected long-term earnings growth rate of 6.4%.

Fomento Economico Mexicano, alias FEMSA, has exposure in various industries, including beverage, beer and retail, which gives it an edge over its competitors. It presently has a Zacks Rank of 2 (Buy). FEMSA has a trailing four-quarter earnings surprise of 3.9%, on average. Shares of FMX have declined 18.6% in the past three months.

The Zacks Consensus Estimate for FEMSA’s sales for the current financial year suggests growth of 5.3% from the year-ago period’s reported figure. The same for earnings per share suggests a fall of 7.1%. The current financial year’s earnings per share have moved down 1.6% in the past 30 days. FMX has an expected EPS growth rate of 8.8% for three to five years.

Coca-Cola currently has a Zacks Rank #2. The company has an expected long-term earnings growth rate of 7%. Shares of KO have risen 1.2% in the past three months.

The Zacks Consensus Estimate for Coca-Cola’s current financial year’s earnings per share has been unchanged in the past 30 days. The Zacks Consensus Estimate for KO’s sales and EPS for the current financial year suggests growth of 8.9% and 6.5%, respectively, from the year-ago reported levels. KO has a trailing four-quarter earnings surprise of 13.6%, on average.


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CocaCola Company The (KO) : Free Stock Analysis Report
 
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Constellation Brands Inc (STZ) : Free Stock Analysis Report
 
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