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Did Business Growth Power Vonovia's (ETR:VNA) Share Price Gain of 121%?

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The worst result, after buying shares in a company (assuming no leverage), would be if you lose all the money you put in. But on a lighter note, a good company can see its share price rise well over 100%. For example, the Vonovia SE (ETR:VNA) share price has soared 121% in the last half decade. Most would be very happy with that. Also pleasing for shareholders was the 12% gain in the last three months.

View our latest analysis for Vonovia

In his essay The Superinvestors of Graham-and-Doddsville Warren Buffett described how share prices do not always rationally reflect the value of a business. One imperfect but simple way to consider how the market perception of a company has shifted is to compare the change in the earnings per share (EPS) with the share price movement.

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Over half a decade, Vonovia managed to grow its earnings per share at 50% a year. This EPS growth is higher than the 17% average annual increase in the share price. So it seems the market isn't so enthusiastic about the stock these days. This cautious sentiment is reflected in its (fairly low) P/E ratio of 10.47.

You can see below how EPS has changed over time (discover the exact values by clicking on the image).

XTRA:VNA Past and Future Earnings, June 5th 2019
XTRA:VNA Past and Future Earnings, June 5th 2019

Before buying or selling a stock, we always recommend a close examination of historic growth trends, available here..

What About Dividends?

When looking at investment returns, it is important to consider the difference between total shareholder return (TSR) and share price return. The TSR is a return calculation that accounts for the value of cash dividends (assuming that any dividend received was reinvested) and the calculated value of any discounted capital raisings and spin-offs. Arguably, the TSR gives a more comprehensive picture of the return generated by a stock. As it happens, Vonovia's TSR for the last 5 years was 172%, which exceeds the share price return mentioned earlier. This is largely a result of its dividend payments!

A Different Perspective

It's good to see that Vonovia has rewarded shareholders with a total shareholder return of 21% in the last twelve months. Of course, that includes the dividend. However, the TSR over five years, coming in at 22% per year, is even more impressive. Before forming an opinion on Vonovia you might want to consider the cold hard cash it pays as a dividend. This free chart tracks its dividend over time.

But note: Vonovia may not be the best stock to buy. So take a peek at this free list of interesting companies with past earnings growth (and further growth forecast).

Please note, the market returns quoted in this article reflect the market weighted average returns of stocks that currently trade on DE exchanges.

We aim to bring you long-term focused research analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material.

If you spot an error that warrants correction, please contact the editor at editorial-team@simplywallst.com. This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. Simply Wall St has no position in the stocks mentioned. Thank you for reading.