Advertisement
UK markets open in 4 hours 43 minutes
  • NIKKEI 225

    37,801.75
    -658.33 (-1.71%)
     
  • HANG SENG

    17,264.63
    +63.36 (+0.37%)
     
  • CRUDE OIL

    82.67
    -0.14 (-0.17%)
     
  • GOLD FUTURES

    2,331.80
    -6.60 (-0.28%)
     
  • DOW

    38,460.92
    -42.77 (-0.11%)
     
  • Bitcoin GBP

    51,523.70
    -2,012.95 (-3.76%)
     
  • CMC Crypto 200

    1,386.30
    -37.80 (-2.65%)
     
  • NASDAQ Composite

    15,712.75
    +16.11 (+0.10%)
     
  • UK FTSE All Share

    4,374.06
    -4.69 (-0.11%)
     

Did You Manage To Avoid Great Portland Estates's (LON:GPOR) 18% Share Price Drop?

For many investors, the main point of stock picking is to generate higher returns than the overall market. But if you try your hand at stock picking, your risk returning less than the market. Unfortunately, that's been the case for longer term Great Portland Estates Plc (LON:GPOR) shareholders, since the share price is down 18% in the last three years, falling well short of the market return of around 30%.

Check out our latest analysis for Great Portland Estates

There is no denying that markets are sometimes efficient, but prices do not always reflect underlying business performance. By comparing earnings per share (EPS) and share price changes over time, we can get a feel for how investor attitudes to a company have morphed over time.

ADVERTISEMENT

Great Portland Estates became profitable within the last five years. That would generally be considered a positive, so we are surprised to see the share price is down. So it's worth looking at other metrics to try to understand the share price move.

With a rather small yield of just 1.6% we doubt that the stock's share price is based on its dividend. We note that, in three years, revenue has actually grown at a 51% annual rate, so that doesn't seem to be a reason to sell shares. It's probably worht worth investigating Great Portland Estates further; while we may be missing something on this analysis, there might also be an opportunity.

Depicted in the graphic below, you'll see revenue and earnings over time. If you want more detail, you can click on the chart itself.

LSE:GPOR Income Statement, April 15th 2019
LSE:GPOR Income Statement, April 15th 2019

We know that Great Portland Estates has improved its bottom line lately, but what does the future have in store? You can see what analysts are predicting for Great Portland Estates in this interactive graph of future profit estimates.

What About Dividends?

It is important to consider the total shareholder return, as well as the share price return, for any given stock. Whereas the share price return only reflects the change in the share price, the TSR includes the value of dividends (assuming they were reinvested) and the benefit of any discounted capital raising or spin-off. Arguably, the TSR gives a more comprehensive picture of the return generated by a stock. As it happens, Great Portland Estates's TSR for the last 3 years was 7.6%, which exceeds the share price return mentioned earlier. This is largely a result of its dividend payments!

A Different Perspective

It's nice to see that Great Portland Estates shareholders have received a total shareholder return of 7.7% over the last year. That's including the dividend. That's better than the annualised return of 5.2% over half a decade, implying that the company is doing better recently. Given the share price momentum remains strong, it might be worth taking a closer look at the stock, lest you miss an opportunity. Most investors take the time to check the data on insider transactions. You can click here to see if insiders have been buying or selling.

If you are like me, then you will not want to miss this free list of growing companies that insiders are buying.

Please note, the market returns quoted in this article reflect the market weighted average returns of stocks that currently trade on GB exchanges.

We aim to bring you long-term focused research analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material.

If you spot an error that warrants correction, please contact the editor at editorial-team@simplywallst.com. This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. Simply Wall St has no position in the stocks mentioned. Thank you for reading.