Dismal UK retail figures add to blues as Bank of England meets
* UK retail spending suffers biggest drop on record - BRC (Shanghai: 600466.SS - news)
* While plunge reflects Easter timing, BRC warns of weak
trend
* Figures add to downbeat run of data
* New Reuters poll shows BoE (Shenzhen: 000725.SZ - news) likely to hold rates on Thurs
(Adds reaction, graphic)
By Andy Bruce
LONDON, May 9 (Reuters) - Britain's consumer economy failed
to rebound in April after snowy weather kept shoppers at home
the month before, adding to downbeat data that make a Bank of
England rate rise this week unlikely.
In a latest sign of slow growth in 2018, retail spending
contracted by 3.1 percent year-on-year in April after a 2.3
percent rise in March, the British Retail Consortium (BRC) said
on Wednesday.
That marked the sharpest drop since records began in 1995.
While the plunge partly reflects the timing of the
sales-boosting Easter holidays -- which started in March this
year rather than April -- the BRC warned of a weak underlying
trend.
Marc Ostwald, market strategist at ADM Investor Services,
said the figures were "dismal".
British data have soured over the past month, suggesting the
economy has not yet recovered from a weak start to 2018 in the
manner most economists and BoE officials had expected.
A lack of clarity around Britain's terms of departure from
the European Union in less than a year, as well as a slowing
euro zone economy, are among reasons cited for Britain's
disappointing performance of late.
The BoE now looks unlikely to raise rates on Thursday,
according to a new Reuters poll of economists who have mostly
pushed back forecasts for a rate hike to August.
Adding to mixed signals, a survey of recruitment firms on
Wednesday showed demand for permanent staff grew at the weakest
pace so far this year during April, though growth in starting
salaries remained robust.
RETAIL "IN DISTRESS"
Looking at retail sales over the three months to April,
which smoothes out March's jump and last month's plunge, the BRC
said overall spending was up just 0.4 percent year-on-year.
That marked the third-worst reading since the global
financial crisis.
The BRC said the retail market was likely to remain
"extremely challenging". Earlier on Wednesday, baker Greggs
warned profit for 2018 was likely to disappoint, blaming
a dip in consumer demand.
Already this year Toys R Us UK, electricals group Maplin and
drinks wholesaler Conviviality (LSE: CVR.L - news) have filed for protection from
creditors.
"The retail industry is clearly in distress," said Richard
Lim, chief executive of consultancy Retail Economics.
Separately, payment card firm Barclaycard said consumer
spending -- which includes a broader range of purchases such as
holidays and eating out -- rose at an annual pace of 3.4 percent
in April after growing just 2.0 percent in the previous month.
Excluding the snow-hit March, April marked the weakest
increase in five months.
"The UK seems to be caught in a holding pattern, with people
still budgeting carefully," Barclaycard managing director Paul
Lockstone said.
(Reporting by Andy Bruce; Editing by Toby Chopra)