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Does Covenant Transportation Group, Inc.'s (NASDAQ:CVTI) P/E Ratio Signal A Buying Opportunity?

This article is for investors who would like to improve their understanding of price to earnings ratios (P/E ratios). To keep it practical, we'll show how Covenant Transportation Group, Inc.'s (NASDAQ:CVTI) P/E ratio could help you assess the value on offer. What is Covenant Transportation Group's P/E ratio? Well, based on the last twelve months it is 7.27. That corresponds to an earnings yield of approximately 13.8%.

See our latest analysis for Covenant Transportation Group

How Do You Calculate A P/E Ratio?

The formula for price to earnings is:

Price to Earnings Ratio = Price per Share ÷ Earnings per Share (EPS)

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Or for Covenant Transportation Group:

P/E of 7.27 = $15.28 ÷ $2.10 (Based on the year to June 2019.)

Is A High Price-to-Earnings Ratio Good?

A higher P/E ratio means that investors are paying a higher price for each $1 of company earnings. That is not a good or a bad thing per se, but a high P/E does imply buyers are optimistic about the future.

How Does Covenant Transportation Group's P/E Ratio Compare To Its Peers?

One good way to get a quick read on what market participants expect of a company is to look at its P/E ratio. The image below shows that Covenant Transportation Group has a lower P/E than the average (16.9) P/E for companies in the transportation industry.

NasdaqGS:CVTI Price Estimation Relative to Market, October 10th 2019
NasdaqGS:CVTI Price Estimation Relative to Market, October 10th 2019

This suggests that market participants think Covenant Transportation Group will underperform other companies in its industry. Since the market seems unimpressed with Covenant Transportation Group, it's quite possible it could surprise on the upside. It is arguably worth checking if insiders are buying shares, because that might imply they believe the stock is undervalued.

How Growth Rates Impact P/E Ratios

Probably the most important factor in determining what P/E a company trades on is the earnings growth. That's because companies that grow earnings per share quickly will rapidly increase the 'E' in the equation. And in that case, the P/E ratio itself will drop rather quickly. Then, a lower P/E should attract more buyers, pushing the share price up.

Covenant Transportation Group's earnings per share fell by 44% in the last twelve months. But it has grown its earnings per share by 32% per year over the last five years.

Don't Forget: The P/E Does Not Account For Debt or Bank Deposits

One drawback of using a P/E ratio is that it considers market capitalization, but not the balance sheet. Thus, the metric does not reflect cash or debt held by the company. In theory, a company can lower its future P/E ratio by using cash or debt to invest in growth.

Such expenditure might be good or bad, in the long term, but the point here is that the balance sheet is not reflected by this ratio.

Is Debt Impacting Covenant Transportation Group's P/E?

Covenant Transportation Group's net debt is 77% of its market cap. If you want to compare its P/E ratio to other companies, you should absolutely keep in mind it has significant borrowings.

The Verdict On Covenant Transportation Group's P/E Ratio

Covenant Transportation Group's P/E is 7.3 which is below average (17.3) in the US market. When you consider that the company has significant debt, and didn't grow EPS last year, it isn't surprising that the market has muted expectations.

Investors should be looking to buy stocks that the market is wrong about. If the reality for a company is not as bad as the P/E ratio indicates, then the share price should increase as the market realizes this. So this free visual report on analyst forecasts could hold the key to an excellent investment decision.

But note: Covenant Transportation Group may not be the best stock to buy. So take a peek at this free list of interesting companies with strong recent earnings growth (and a P/E ratio below 20).

We aim to bring you long-term focused research analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material.

If you spot an error that warrants correction, please contact the editor at editorial-team@simplywallst.com. This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. Simply Wall St has no position in the stocks mentioned. Thank you for reading.