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Does Eddie Stobart Logistics plc’s (LON:ESL) PE Ratio Signal A Selling Opportunity?

The content of this article will benefit those of you who are starting to educate yourself about investing in the stock market and want to begin learning about how to value company based on its current earnings and what are the drawbacks of this method.

Eddie Stobart Logistics plc (LON:ESL) trades with a trailing P/E of 32.3, which is higher than the industry average of 12.4. Although some investors may see this as unappealing, it is important to understand the assumptions behind the P/E ratio before making judgments. Today, I will break down what the P/E ratio is, how to interpret it and what to watch out for.

Check out our latest analysis for Eddie Stobart Logistics

Demystifying the P/E ratio

AIM:ESL PE PEG Gauge October 19th 18
AIM:ESL PE PEG Gauge October 19th 18

The P/E ratio is one of many ratios used in relative valuation. It compares a stock’s price per share to the stock’s earnings per share. A more intuitive way of understanding the P/E ratio is to think of it as how much investors are paying for each dollar of the company’s earnings.

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P/E Calculation for ESL

Price-Earnings Ratio = Price per share ÷ Earnings per share

ESL Price-Earnings Ratio = £1.12 ÷ £0.0346 = 32.3x

The P/E ratio isn’t a metric you view in isolation and only becomes useful when you compare it against other similar companies. We preferably want to compare the stock’s P/E ratio to the average of companies that have similar features to ESL, such as capital structure and profitability. One way of gathering a peer group is to use firms in the same industry, which is what I’ll do. At 32.3, ESL’s P/E is higher than its industry peers (12.4). This implies that investors are overvaluing each dollar of ESL’s earnings. This multiple is a median of profitable companies of 6 Transportation companies in GB including Go-Ahead Group, Rotala and Stagecoach Group. You could think of it like this: the market is pricing ESL as if it is a stronger company than the average of its industry group.

Assumptions to watch out for

Before you jump to conclusions it is important to realise that there are assumptions in this analysis. Firstly, that our peer group contains companies that are similar to ESL. If this isn’t the case, the difference in P/E could be due to other factors. Take, for example, the scenario where Eddie Stobart Logistics plc is growing profits more quickly than the average comparable company. In that case, the market may be correct to value it on a higher P/E ratio. Of course, it is possible that the stocks we are comparing with ESL are not fairly valued. Just because it is trading on a higher P/E ratio than its peers does not mean it must be overvalued. After all, the peer group could be undervalued.

What this means for you:

You may have already conducted fundamental analysis on the stock as a shareholder, so its current overvaluation could signal a potential selling opportunity to reduce your exposure to ESL. Now that you understand the ins and outs of the PE metric, you should know to bear in mind its limitations before you make an investment decision. Remember that basing your investment decision off one metric alone is certainly not sufficient. There are many things I have not taken into account in this article and the PE ratio is very one-dimensional. If you have not done so already, I highly recommend you to complete your research by taking a look at the following:

  1. Financial Health: Are ESL’s operations financially sustainable? Balance sheets can be hard to analyze, which is why we’ve done it for you. Check out our financial health checks here.

  2. Valuation: What is ESL worth today? Is the stock undervalued, even when its growth outlook is factored into its intrinsic value? The intrinsic value infographic in our free research report helps visualize whether ESL is currently mispriced by the market.

  3. Other High-Performing Stocks: Are there other stocks that provide better prospects with proven track records? Explore our free list of these great stocks here.

To help readers see past the short term volatility of the financial market, we aim to bring you a long-term focused research analysis purely driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis does not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements.

The author is an independent contributor and at the time of publication had no position in the stocks mentioned. For errors that warrant correction please contact the editor at editorial-team@simplywallst.com.