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How Does Fox's (NASDAQ:FOXA) P/E Compare To Its Industry, After The Share Price Drop?

To the annoyance of some shareholders, Fox (NASDAQ:FOXA) shares are down a considerable 41% in the last month. That drop has capped off a tough year for shareholders, with the share price down 44% in that time.

All else being equal, a share price drop should make a stock more attractive to potential investors. In the long term, share prices tend to follow earnings per share, but in the short term prices bounce around in response to short term factors (which are not always obvious). So, on certain occasions, long term focussed investors try to take advantage of pessimistic expectations to buy shares at a better price. Perhaps the simplest way to get a read on investors' expectations of a business is to look at its Price to Earnings Ratio (PE Ratio). A high P/E implies that investors have high expectations of what a company can achieve compared to a company with a low P/E ratio.

See our latest analysis for Fox

How Does Fox's P/E Ratio Compare To Its Peers?

Fox's P/E of 7.77 indicates relatively low sentiment towards the stock. We can see in the image below that the average P/E (9.1) for companies in the media industry is higher than Fox's P/E.

NasdaqGS:FOXA Price Estimation Relative to Market, March 19th 2020
NasdaqGS:FOXA Price Estimation Relative to Market, March 19th 2020

Fox's P/E tells us that market participants think it will not fare as well as its peers in the same industry. Since the market seems unimpressed with Fox, it's quite possible it could surprise on the upside. You should delve deeper. I like to check if company insiders have been buying or selling.

How Growth Rates Impact P/E Ratios

P/E ratios primarily reflect market expectations around earnings growth rates. If earnings are growing quickly, then the 'E' in the equation will increase faster than it would otherwise. That means unless the share price increases, the P/E will reduce in a few years. Then, a lower P/E should attract more buyers, pushing the share price up.

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Fox increased earnings per share by an impressive 16% over the last twelve months. And earnings per share have improved by 9.2% annually, over the last three years. With that performance, you might expect an above average P/E ratio.

A Limitation: P/E Ratios Ignore Debt and Cash In The Bank

Don't forget that the P/E ratio considers market capitalization. In other words, it does not consider any debt or cash that the company may have on the balance sheet. Theoretically, a business can improve its earnings (and produce a lower P/E in the future) by investing in growth. That means taking on debt (or spending its cash).

Such spending might be good or bad, overall, but the key point here is that you need to look at debt to understand the P/E ratio in context.

Is Debt Impacting Fox's P/E?

Fox has net debt equal to 36% of its market cap. While it's worth keeping this in mind, it isn't a worry.

The Verdict On Fox's P/E Ratio

Fox's P/E is 7.8 which is below average (11.8) in the US market. The EPS growth last year was strong, and debt levels are quite reasonable. The low P/E ratio suggests current market expectations are muted, implying these levels of growth will not continue. What can be absolutely certain is that the market has become more pessimistic about Fox over the last month, with the P/E ratio falling from 13.1 back then to 7.8 today. For those who prefer invest in growth, this stock apparently offers limited promise, but the deep value investors may find the pessimism around this stock enticing.

Investors have an opportunity when market expectations about a stock are wrong. If the reality for a company is not as bad as the P/E ratio indicates, then the share price should increase as the market realizes this. So this free report on the analyst consensus forecasts could help you make a master move on this stock.

You might be able to find a better buy than Fox. If you want a selection of possible winners, check out this free list of interesting companies that trade on a P/E below 20 (but have proven they can grow earnings).

If you spot an error that warrants correction, please contact the editor at editorial-team@simplywallst.com. This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. Simply Wall St has no position in the stocks mentioned.

We aim to bring you long-term focused research analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Thank you for reading.