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How Does Gazprom Neft's (MCX:SIBN) P/E Compare To Its Industry, After The Share Price Drop?

To the annoyance of some shareholders, Gazprom Neft (MCX:SIBN) shares are down a considerable 40% in the last month. The recent drop has obliterated the annual return, with the share price now down 19% over that longer period.

All else being equal, a share price drop should make a stock more attractive to potential investors. While the market sentiment towards a stock is very changeable, in the long run, the share price will tend to move in the same direction as earnings per share. The implication here is that long term investors have an opportunity when expectations of a company are too low. Perhaps the simplest way to get a read on investors' expectations of a business is to look at its Price to Earnings Ratio (PE Ratio). A high P/E ratio means that investors have a high expectation about future growth, while a low P/E ratio means they have low expectations about future growth.

View our latest analysis for Gazprom Neft

How Does Gazprom Neft's P/E Ratio Compare To Its Peers?

Gazprom Neft's P/E of 3.17 indicates relatively low sentiment towards the stock. The image below shows that Gazprom Neft has a lower P/E than the average (4.3) P/E for companies in the oil and gas industry.

MISX:SIBN Price Estimation Relative to Market, March 20th 2020
MISX:SIBN Price Estimation Relative to Market, March 20th 2020

Gazprom Neft's P/E tells us that market participants think it will not fare as well as its peers in the same industry. While current expectations are low, the stock could be undervalued if the situation is better than the market assumes. You should delve deeper. I like to check if company insiders have been buying or selling.

How Growth Rates Impact P/E Ratios

Earnings growth rates have a big influence on P/E ratios. If earnings are growing quickly, then the 'E' in the equation will increase faster than it would otherwise. That means even if the current P/E is high, it will reduce over time if the share price stays flat. A lower P/E should indicate the stock is cheap relative to others -- and that may attract buyers.

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Gazprom Neft's earnings per share grew by 6.2% in the last twelve months. And its annual EPS growth rate over 5 years is 27%.

Don't Forget: The P/E Does Not Account For Debt or Bank Deposits

The 'Price' in P/E reflects the market capitalization of the company. Thus, the metric does not reflect cash or debt held by the company. The exact same company would hypothetically deserve a higher P/E ratio if it had a strong balance sheet, than if it had a weak one with lots of debt, because a cashed up company can spend on growth.

Such spending might be good or bad, overall, but the key point here is that you need to look at debt to understand the P/E ratio in context.

So What Does Gazprom Neft's Balance Sheet Tell Us?

Gazprom Neft has net debt equal to 39% of its market cap. You'd want to be aware of this fact, but it doesn't bother us.

The Verdict On Gazprom Neft's P/E Ratio

Gazprom Neft's P/E is 3.2 which is below average (6.3) in the RU market. The company does have a little debt, and EPS is moving in the right direction. If you believe growth will continue - or even increase - then the low P/E may signify opportunity. Given Gazprom Neft's P/E ratio has declined from 5.3 to 3.2 in the last month, we know for sure that the market is more worried about the business today, than it was back then. For those who prefer invest in growth, this stock apparently offers limited promise, but the deep value investors may find the pessimism around this stock enticing.

Investors should be looking to buy stocks that the market is wrong about. If the reality for a company is not as bad as the P/E ratio indicates, then the share price should increase as the market realizes this. So this free visualization of the analyst consensus on future earnings could help you make the right decision about whether to buy, sell, or hold.

Of course you might be able to find a better stock than Gazprom Neft. So you may wish to see this free collection of other companies that have grown earnings strongly.

If you spot an error that warrants correction, please contact the editor at editorial-team@simplywallst.com. This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. Simply Wall St has no position in the stocks mentioned.

We aim to bring you long-term focused research analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Thank you for reading.