Advertisement
UK markets close in 7 hours
  • FTSE 100

    8,088.83
    +44.02 (+0.55%)
     
  • FTSE 250

    19,817.27
    +17.55 (+0.09%)
     
  • AIM

    755.97
    +1.10 (+0.15%)
     
  • GBP/EUR

    1.1628
    +0.0000 (+0.00%)
     
  • GBP/USD

    1.2429
    -0.0024 (-0.19%)
     
  • Bitcoin GBP

    53,633.29
    +405.25 (+0.76%)
     
  • CMC Crypto 200

    1,436.43
    +12.33 (+0.87%)
     
  • S&P 500

    5,070.55
    +59.95 (+1.20%)
     
  • DOW

    38,503.69
    +263.71 (+0.69%)
     
  • CRUDE OIL

    83.54
    +0.18 (+0.22%)
     
  • GOLD FUTURES

    2,331.60
    -10.50 (-0.45%)
     
  • NIKKEI 225

    38,460.08
    +907.92 (+2.42%)
     
  • HANG SENG

    17,201.27
    +372.34 (+2.21%)
     
  • DAX

    18,217.33
    +79.68 (+0.44%)
     
  • CAC 40

    8,124.59
    +18.81 (+0.23%)
     

Does The Octagonal Plc (LON:OCT) Share Price Tend To Follow The Market?

Anyone researching Octagonal Plc (LON:OCT) might want to consider the historical volatility of the share price. Modern finance theory considers volatility to be a measure of risk, and there are two main types of price volatility. First, we have company specific volatility, which is the price gyrations of an individual stock. Holding at least 8 stocks can reduce this kind of risk across a portfolio. The other type, which cannot be diversified away, is the volatility of the entire market. Every stock in the market is exposed to this volatility, which is linked to the fact that stocks prices are correlated in an efficient market.

Some stocks see their prices move in concert with the market. Others tend towards stronger, gentler or unrelated price movements. Beta can be a useful tool to understand how much a stock is influenced by market risk (volatility). However, Warren Buffett said 'volatility is far from synonymous with risk' in his 2014 letter to investors. So, while useful, beta is not the only metric to consider. To use beta as an investor, you must first understand that the overall market has a beta of one. A stock with a beta greater than one is more sensitive to broader market movements than a stock with a beta of less than one.

See our latest analysis for Octagonal

What we can learn from OCT's beta value

Given that it has a beta of 1.15, we can surmise that the Octagonal share price has been fairly sensitive to market volatility (over the last 5 years). Based on this history, investors should be aware that Octagonal are likely to rise strongly in times of greed, but sell off in times of fear. Beta is worth considering, but it's also important to consider whether Octagonal is growing earnings and revenue. You can take a look for yourself, below.

AIM:OCT Income Statement, September 25th 2019
AIM:OCT Income Statement, September 25th 2019

Could OCT's size cause it to be more volatile?

Octagonal is a rather small company. It has a market capitalisation of UK£6.9m, which means it is probably under the radar of most investors. It has a relatively high beta, suggesting it is fairly actively traded for a company of its size. Because it takes less capital to move the share price of a small company like this, when a stock this size is actively traded it is quite often more sensitive to market volatility than similar large companies.

What this means for you:

Since Octagonal has a reasonably high beta, it's worth considering why it is so heavily influenced by broader market sentiment. For example, it might be a high growth stock or have a lot of operating leverage in its business model. In order to fully understand whether OCT is a good investment for you, we also need to consider important company-specific fundamentals such as Octagonal’s financial health and performance track record. I urge you to continue your research by taking a look at the following:

ADVERTISEMENT
  1. Future Outlook: What are well-informed industry analysts predicting for OCT’s future growth? Take a look at our free research report of analyst consensus for OCT’s outlook.

  2. Valuation: What is OCT worth today? Is the stock undervalued, even when its growth outlook is factored into its intrinsic value? The intrinsic value infographic in our free research report helps visualize whether OCT is currently mispriced by the market.

  3. Other High-Performing Stocks: Are there other stocks that provide better prospects with proven track records? Explore our free list of these great stocks here.

We aim to bring you long-term focused research analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material.

If you spot an error that warrants correction, please contact the editor at editorial-team@simplywallst.com. This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. Simply Wall St has no position in the stocks mentioned. Thank you for reading.