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What Does Palace Capital Plc’s (LON:PCA) Share Price Indicate?

Palace Capital Plc (LON:PCA), a real estate company based in United Kingdom, saw significant share price volatility over the past couple of months on the LSE, rising to the highs of £3.64 and falling to the lows of £3.2. This high level of volatility gives investors the opportunity to enter into the stock, and potentially buy at an artificially low price. A question to answer is whether Palace Capital’s current trading price of £3.52 reflective of the actual value of the small-cap? Or is it currently undervalued, providing us with the opportunity to buy? Let’s take a look at Palace Capital’s outlook and value based on the most recent financial data to see if there are any catalysts for a price change. View out our latest analysis for Palace Capital

What’s the opportunity in Palace Capital?

According to my relative valuation model, the stock seems to be currently fairly priced. In this instance, I’ve used the price-to-equity (PE) ratio given that there is not enough information to reliably forecast the stock’s cash flows. I find that Palace Capital’s ratio of 9.82x is trading slightly above its industry peers’ ratio of 8.97x, which means if you buy Palace Capital today, you’d be paying a relatively fair price for it. And if you believe Palace Capital should be trading in this range, then there isn’t really any room for the share price grow beyond what it’s currently trading. In addition to this, it seems like Palace Capital’s share price is quite stable, which could mean there may be less chances to buy low in the future now that it’s fairly valued. This is because the stock is less volatile than the wider market given its low beta.

Can we expect growth from Palace Capital?

LSE:PCA Future Profit June 22nd 18
LSE:PCA Future Profit June 22nd 18

Future outlook is an important aspect when you’re looking at buying a stock, especially if you are an investor looking for growth in your portfolio. Buying a great company with a robust outlook at a cheap price is always a good investment, so let’s also take a look at the company’s future expectations. However, with a negative profit growth of -13.98% expected over the next couple of years, near-term growth certainly doesn’t appear to be a driver for a buy decision for Palace Capital. This certainty tips the risk-return scale towards higher risk.

What this means for you:

Are you a shareholder? Currently, PCA appears to be trading around its fair value, but given the uncertainty from negative returns in the future, this could be the right time to de-risk your portfolio. Is your current exposure to the stock optimal for your total portfolio? And is the opportunity cost of holding a negative-outlook stock too high? Before you make a decision on PCA, take a look at whether its fundamentals have changed.

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Are you a potential investor? If you’ve been keeping tabs on PCA for a while, now may not be the most optimal time to buy, given it is trading around its fair value. The price seems to be trading at fair value, which means there’s less benefit from mispricing. Furthermore, the negative growth outlook increases the risk of holding the stock. However, there are also other important factors we haven’t considered today, which can help crystalize your views on PCA should the price fluctuate below its true value.

Price is just the tip of the iceberg. Dig deeper into what truly matters – the fundamentals – before you make a decision on Palace Capital. You can find everything you need to know about Palace Capital in the latest infographic research report. If you are no longer interested in Palace Capital, you can use our free platform to see my list of over 50 other stocks with a high growth potential.


To help readers see pass the short term volatility of the financial market, we aim to bring you a long-term focused research analysis purely driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis does not factor in the latest price sensitive company announcements.

The author is an independent contributor and at the time of publication had no position in the stocks mentioned.