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Does Paladin Limited’s (HKG:495) PE Ratio Warrant A Sell?

This article is intended for those of you who are at the beginning of your investing journey and want to begin learning about how to value company based on its current earnings and what are the drawbacks of this method.

Paladin Limited (HKG:495) trades with a trailing P/E of 17.6, which is higher than the industry average of 5.7. Although some investors may see this as unappealing, it is important to understand the assumptions behind the P/E ratio before making judgments. Today, I will explain what the P/E ratio is as well as what you should look out for when using it.

View our latest analysis for Paladin

Breaking down the P/E ratio

SEHK:495 PE PEG Gauge October 3rd 18
SEHK:495 PE PEG Gauge October 3rd 18

The P/E ratio is one of many ratios used in relative valuation. It compares a stock’s price per share to the stock’s earnings per share. A more intuitive way of understanding the P/E ratio is to think of it as how much investors are paying for each dollar of the company’s earnings.

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P/E Calculation for 495

Price-Earnings Ratio = Price per share ÷ Earnings per share

495 Price-Earnings Ratio = HK$0.21 ÷ HK$0.0117 = 17.6x

The P/E ratio itself doesn’t tell you a lot; however, it becomes very insightful when you compare it with other similar companies. Our goal is to compare the stock’s P/E ratio to the average of companies that have similar attributes to 495, such as company lifetime and products sold. One way of gathering a peer group is to use firms in the same industry, which is what I’ll do. Since 495’s P/E of 17.6 is higher than its industry peers (5.7), it means that investors are paying more for each dollar of 495’s earnings. This multiple is a median of profitable companies of 25 Real Estate companies in HK including Top Spring International Holdings, Chinney Investments and Hon Kwok Land Investment Company. You could also say that the market is suggesting that 495 is a stronger business than the average comparable company.

Assumptions to watch out for

However, it is important to note that our examination of the stock is based on certain assumptions. Firstly, that our peer group contains companies that are similar to 495. If this isn’t the case, the difference in P/E could be due to other factors. For example, Paladin Limited could be growing more quickly than the companies we’re comparing it with. In that case it would deserve a higher P/E ratio. We should also be aware that the stocks we are comparing to 495 may not be fairly valued. Just because it is trading on a higher P/E ratio than its peers does not mean it must be overvalued. After all, the peer group could be undervalued.

What this means for you:

Since you may have already conducted your due diligence on 495, the overvaluation of the stock may mean it is a good time to reduce your current holdings. But at the end of the day, keep in mind that relative valuation relies heavily on critical assumptions I’ve outlined above. Remember that basing your investment decision off one metric alone is certainly not sufficient. There are many things I have not taken into account in this article and the PE ratio is very one-dimensional. If you have not done so already, I highly recommend you to complete your research by taking a look at the following:

  1. Future Outlook: What are well-informed industry analysts predicting for 495’s future growth? Take a look at our free research report of analyst consensus for 495’s outlook.

  2. Past Track Record: Has 495 been consistently performing well irrespective of the ups and downs in the market? Go into more detail in the past performance analysis and take a look at the free visual representations of 495’s historicals for more clarity.

  3. Other High-Performing Stocks: Are there other stocks that provide better prospects with proven track records? Explore our free list of these great stocks here.

To help readers see past the short term volatility of the financial market, we aim to bring you a long-term focused research analysis purely driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis does not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements.

The author is an independent contributor and at the time of publication had no position in the stocks mentioned. For errors that warrant correction please contact the editor at editorial-team@simplywallst.com.