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How Does Redrow's (LON:RDW) P/E Compare To Its Industry, After The Share Price Drop?

Unfortunately for some shareholders, the Redrow (LON:RDW) share price has dived 31% in the last thirty days. Even longer term holders have taken a real hit with the stock declining 17% in the last year.

All else being equal, a share price drop should make a stock more attractive to potential investors. While the market sentiment towards a stock is very changeable, in the long run, the share price will tend to move in the same direction as earnings per share. The implication here is that long term investors have an opportunity when expectations of a company are too low. Perhaps the simplest way to get a read on investors' expectations of a business is to look at its Price to Earnings Ratio (PE Ratio). A high P/E ratio means that investors have a high expectation about future growth, while a low P/E ratio means they have low expectations about future growth.

See our latest analysis for Redrow

Does Redrow Have A Relatively High Or Low P/E For Its Industry?

Redrow's P/E of 6.32 indicates relatively low sentiment towards the stock. If you look at the image below, you can see Redrow has a lower P/E than the average (9.8) in the consumer durables industry classification.

LSE:RDW Price Estimation Relative to Market, March 13th 2020
LSE:RDW Price Estimation Relative to Market, March 13th 2020

This suggests that market participants think Redrow will underperform other companies in its industry. While current expectations are low, the stock could be undervalued if the situation is better than the market assumes. It is arguably worth checking if insiders are buying shares, because that might imply they believe the stock is undervalued.

How Growth Rates Impact P/E Ratios

Earnings growth rates have a big influence on P/E ratios. Earnings growth means that in the future the 'E' will be higher. That means unless the share price increases, the P/E will reduce in a few years. Then, a lower P/E should attract more buyers, pushing the share price up.

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Redrow's earnings per share fell by 5.8% in the last twelve months. But over the longer term (5 years) earnings per share have increased by 16%.

Don't Forget: The P/E Does Not Account For Debt or Bank Deposits

Don't forget that the P/E ratio considers market capitalization. That means it doesn't take debt or cash into account. Theoretically, a business can improve its earnings (and produce a lower P/E in the future) by investing in growth. That means taking on debt (or spending its cash).

While growth expenditure doesn't always pay off, the point is that it is a good option to have; but one that the P/E ratio ignores.

Redrow's Balance Sheet

Since Redrow holds net cash of UK£14m, it can spend on growth, justifying a higher P/E ratio than otherwise.

The Bottom Line On Redrow's P/E Ratio

Redrow has a P/E of 6.3. That's below the average in the GB market, which is 13.9. The recent drop in earnings per share would almost certainly temper expectations, the healthy balance sheet means the company retains potential for future growth. If that occurs, the current low P/E could prove to be temporary. What can be absolutely certain is that the market has become more pessimistic about Redrow over the last month, with the P/E ratio falling from 9.1 back then to 6.3 today. For those who prefer to invest with the flow of momentum, that might be a bad sign, but for deep value investors this stock might justify some research.

Investors have an opportunity when market expectations about a stock are wrong. As value investor Benjamin Graham famously said, 'In the short run, the market is a voting machine but in the long run, it is a weighing machine. So this free report on the analyst consensus forecasts could help you make a master move on this stock.

You might be able to find a better buy than Redrow. If you want a selection of possible winners, check out this free list of interesting companies that trade on a P/E below 20 (but have proven they can grow earnings).

If you spot an error that warrants correction, please contact the editor at editorial-team@simplywallst.com. This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. Simply Wall St has no position in the stocks mentioned.

We aim to bring you long-term focused research analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Thank you for reading.