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Does Shield Therapeutics plc (LON:STX) Have A Volatile Share Price?

Anyone researching Shield Therapeutics plc (LON:STX) might want to consider the historical volatility of the share price. Volatility is considered to be a measure of risk in modern finance theory. Investors may think of volatility as falling into two main categories. The first category is company specific volatility. This can be dealt with by limiting your exposure to any particular stock. The second type is the broader market volatility, which you cannot diversify away, since it arises from macroeconomic factors which directly affects all the stocks on the market.

Some stocks are more sensitive to general market forces than others. Beta can be a useful tool to understand how much a stock is influenced by market risk (volatility). However, Warren Buffett said 'volatility is far from synonymous with risk' in his 2014 letter to investors. So, while useful, beta is not the only metric to consider. To use beta as an investor, you must first understand that the overall market has a beta of one. A stock with a beta greater than one is more sensitive to broader market movements than a stock with a beta of less than one.

Check out our latest analysis for Shield Therapeutics

What STX's beta value tells investors

Given that it has a beta of 1.93, we can surmise that the Shield Therapeutics share price has been fairly sensitive to market volatility (over the last 5 years). If this beta value holds true in the future, Shield Therapeutics shares are likely to rise more than the market when the market is going up, but fall faster when the market is going down. Share price volatility is well worth considering, but most long term investors consider the history of revenue and earnings growth to be more important. Take a look at how Shield Therapeutics fares in that regard, below.

AIM:STX Income Statement, April 11th 2019
AIM:STX Income Statement, April 11th 2019

Does STX's size influence the expected beta?

Shield Therapeutics is a rather small company. It has a market capitalisation of UK£84m, which means it is probably under the radar of most investors. Relatively few investors can influence the price of a smaller company, compared to a large company. This could explain the high beta value, in this case.

What this means for you:

Since Shield Therapeutics tends to moves up when the market is going up, and down when it's going down, potential investors may wish to reflect on the overall market, when considering the stock. In order to fully understand whether STX is a good investment for you, we also need to consider important company-specific fundamentals such as Shield Therapeutics’s financial health and performance track record. I urge you to continue your research by taking a look at the following:

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  1. Future Outlook: What are well-informed industry analysts predicting for STX’s future growth? Take a look at our free research report of analyst consensus for STX’s outlook.

  2. Past Track Record: Has STX been consistently performing well irrespective of the ups and downs in the market? Go into more detail in the past performance analysis and take a look at the free visual representations of STX's historicals for more clarity.

  3. Other Interesting Stocks: It's worth checking to see how STX measures up against other companies on valuation. You could start with this free list of prospective options.

We aim to bring you long-term focused research analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material.

If you spot an error that warrants correction, please contact the editor at editorial-team@simplywallst.com. This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. Simply Wall St has no position in the stocks mentioned. Thank you for reading.