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Earnings Miss: Atturra Limited Missed EPS By 29% And Analysts Are Revising Their Forecasts

Atturra Limited (ASX:ATA) missed earnings with its latest annual results, disappointing overly-optimistic forecasters. Unfortunately, Atturra delivered a serious earnings miss. Revenues of AU$135m were 12% below expectations, and statutory earnings per share of AU$0.041 missed estimates by 29%. This is an important time for investors, as they can track a company's performance in its report, look at what experts are forecasting for next year, and see if there has been any change to expectations for the business. We thought readers would find it interesting to see the analysts latest (statutory) post-earnings forecasts for next year.

Check out our latest analysis for Atturra

earnings-and-revenue-growth
earnings-and-revenue-growth

Taking into account the latest results, the consensus forecast from Atturra's dual analysts is for revenues of AU$168.3m in 2023, which would reflect a sizeable 25% improvement in sales compared to the last 12 months. Statutory earnings per share are predicted to surge 50% to AU$0.054. In the lead-up to this report, the analysts had been modelling revenues of AU$169.0m and earnings per share (EPS) of AU$0.058 in 2023. So it looks like there's been a small decline in overall sentiment after the recent results - there's been no major change to revenue estimates, but the analysts did make a small dip in their earnings per share forecasts.

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Althoughthe analysts have revised their earnings forecasts for next year, they've also lifted the consensus price target 5.5% to AU$0.92, suggesting the revised estimates are not indicative of a weaker long-term future for the business.

These estimates are interesting, but it can be useful to paint some more broad strokes when seeing how forecasts compare, both to the Atturra's past performance and to peers in the same industry. The period to the end of 2023 brings more of the same, according to the analysts, with revenue forecast to display 25% growth on an annualised basis. That is in line with its 23% annual growth over the past three years. By contrast, our data suggests that other companies (with analyst coverage) in a similar industry are forecast to see their revenues grow 10% per year. So it's pretty clear that Atturra is forecast to grow substantially faster than its industry.

The Bottom Line

The biggest concern is that the analysts reduced their earnings per share estimates, suggesting business headwinds could lay ahead for Atturra. Happily, there were no major changes to revenue forecasts, with the business still expected to grow faster than the wider industry. We note an upgrade to the price target, suggesting that the analysts believes the intrinsic value of the business is likely to improve over time.

Keeping that in mind, we still think that the longer term trajectory of the business is much more important for investors to consider. We have analyst estimates for Atturra going out as far as 2025, and you can see them free on our platform here.

Another thing to consider is whether management and directors have been buying or selling stock recently. We provide an overview of all open market stock trades for the last twelve months on our platform, here.

Have feedback on this article? Concerned about the content? Get in touch with us directly. Alternatively, email editorial-team (at) simplywallst.com.

This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.

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