EM ASIA FX-Asia FX make weak gains, ringgit falls to pre-peg levels
* Malaysia c.bank spotted intervening, but sporadically
* Malaysia FX reserves data on Friday closely eyed
* Baht, won gain on short-covering
(Adds text, updates prices)
By Jongwoo Cheon
SINGAPORE, Aug 3 (Reuters) - Most emerging Asian currencies
rose on Monday after weak U.S. wage growth clouded views on when
U.S. interest rates were likely to rise, but the outlook for
them was gloomy given the growing concerns over China's slowing
economy.
The Malaysian ringgit's woes worsened due to the
political pressures on Prime Minister Najib Razak as a result of
the scandal over indebted state-fund 1MDB. There were some
doubts over how heavily Bank Negara Malaysia would intervene to
prop up the currency if foreign reserves dwindled too fast.
On Monday, with the ringgit hit a level unseen since the day
before it was pegged at 3.80 per dollar in early September 1998,
as the then government of prime minister Mahathir Mohamad put a
floor under the currency to stop it falling further during the
Thailand's baht and South Korea's won
led gains among regional currencies as investors cut dollar
holdings after data on Friday showed U.S. labour costs in the
second quarter reported their smallest growth in 33 years.
The regional currencies recovery rebound lost momentum after
a private survey showed China's factory activity shrank more
than initially estimated in July, dampening hopes that the
world's second-largest economy was stabilising.
Also, despite the weak U.S. wage growth, expectations for a
rise in U.S. rates later this year remained intact, leaving
emerging Asian currencies vulnerable, traders and analysts said.
"Given the strong NFP figures over the last many months and
the strong preliminary Q2 GDP, we still expect first hike in
September," said Amy Yuan Zhuang, a senior analyst at Nordea in
Singapore.
Investors are awaiting U.S. nonfarm payrolls data due on
Friday. U.S. employers were expected to have added 222,000 jobs
last month, compared to 223,000 increases in the previous month,
according to Reuters' survey of economists. June's
payroll growth ran well above the average for the first five
months.
U.S. economy grew at a 2.3 percent annual rate, faster than
a 0.6 percent expansion in the previous three months, on solid
consumer spending.
"Given the strong NFP figures over the last many months and
the strong preliminary Q2 GDP, we still expect first hike in
September," said Amy Yuan Zhuang, a senior analyst at Nordea in
Singapore.
"Yellen made it very clear that a hike this year is almost
certain, unless something really surprises on the downside."
Last month, Fed Chair Janet Yellen said the U.S. central
bank will likely hike interest rates if the world's top economy
grows as expected.
RINGGIT
The ringgit slid 0.7 percent to 3.8500 per dollar. That was
its weakest since Sept. 2, 1998, when the currency traded
between 3.79 and 4.00 to the dollar, on the day before it was
pegged. The ringgit was taken off the peg in 2005, but its
return to those levels has given Malaysians a sharp reminder of
hard times.
Trading was thin on Monday, as foreign banks sold the
ringgit. Foreign reserves data due on Friday will be closely
watched after losing $5 billion in the first half of June.
"The reserves data may gain increasing importance to the
market as a signal of nervousness from policy makers," said
Sacha Tihanyi, senior currency strategist for Scotiabank in a
research note.
The central bank was on Monday spotted intervening to
support the worst-performing Asian currency so far this year,
though it did not appear to be defending any specific levels,
traders said.
Some government bond prices fell with the five-year
government bond yield rising to 3.619 percent, its
highest since July 9.
BAHT
The baht gained as traders covered short positions ahead of
Thailand's central bank's monetary policy meeting on Wednesday.
The currency has barely moved since data showed July
consumer prices fell for a seventh straight month.
Most economist expect the Bank of Thailand to leave its
benchmark interest rate unchanged for now.
WON
The won advanced as weak U.S. wage data prompted stop-loss
dollar selling.
Offshore funds bought the South Korean currency to cover
short positions, seeing its recent weakness as excessive,
traders said.
The currency lost 4.7 percent against the dollar in July,
the largest monthly loss since September 2011, Thomson Reuters
data showed.
CURRENCIES VS U.S. DOLLAR
Change on the day at 0530 GMT
Currency Latest bid Previous day Pct Move
Japan yen 124.04 123.89 -0.12
Sing dlr 1.3749 1.3723 -0.19
Taiwan dlr 31.591 31.682 +0.29
Korean won 1166.20 1170.00 +0.33
Baht 35.01 35.18 +0.49
Peso 45.66 45.74 +0.19
Rupiah 13505.00 13525.00 +0.15
Rupee 63.97 64.13 +0.26
Ringgit 3.8460 3.8245 -0.56
Yuan 6.2097 6.2097 +0.00
Change so far in 2015
Currency Latest bid End prev year Pct Move
Japan yen 124.04 119.66 -3.54
Sing dlr 1.3749 1.3260 -3.56
Taiwan dlr 31.591 31.718 +0.40
Korean won 1166.20 1099.30 -5.74
Baht 35.01 32.90 -6.03
Peso 45.66 44.72 -2.05
Rupiah 13505.00 12380.00 -8.33
Rupee 63.97 63.03 -1.46
Ringgit 3.8460 3.4965 -9.09
Yuan 6.2097 6.2040 -0.09
(Editing by Simon Cameron-Moore)