EM ASIA FX-U.S. tightening prospects slap Asia FX, bonds; won hits 3-1/2-month low
* Bond outflows, Korea political scandal hurt won
* Yuan rebounds, but on course for 4th weekly slide
(Adds text, updates prices)
By Jongwoo Cheon
SINGAPORE, Oct 28 (Reuters) - Most emerging Asian currencies
eased on Friday as solid U.S. economic data cemented
expectations of a Federal Reserve's interest rate hike in
December, hurting regional bonds.
South Korea's won hit a 3-1/2-month low as
foreign investors continued to sell domestic bonds, while Seoul
shares saw outflows amid as President Park Geun-hye
faced deepening political difficulties after apologising for
letting a friend view her speeches before they were delivered.
The Thai baht slumped as foreign investors kept
selling local stocks and bonds.
Regional units recovered some earlier losses as the dollar
retreated against a basket of six major currencies and
China's yuan rebounded.
Still, their outlook stayed bearish on solid prospects of a
Fed tightening. Upbeat U.S. data on Thursday including jobless
claims and pending home sales added to views that the U.S.
central bank may tighten monetary policy by year-end.
U.S. Treasury yields rose and most emerging Asian countries
government bond yields followed them.
"We reiterate our bias for USD strength against most
currencies including Asian currencies," Christopher Wong, a
senior FX strategist for Maybank, wrote in a note.
"The market could be at risk of underpricing the Fed's
meetings beyond December," Wong said, adding investors are
pricing in U.S. interest rate increase of only 35 basis points
for the next 12 months including December.
The third-quarter U.S. economic growth data due later in the
day may provide further clues to what the Fed will do.
BOND SELLOFF, POLITICS HIT WON
The won on Friday hit 1,147.5 per dollar, its weakest since
July 14, while it pared some of earlier losses on exporters'
demand for month-end settlements.
The South Korean currency led weekly losses among emerging
Asian currencies, having fallen 0.8 percent against the dollar
so far this week.
Foreign investors sold a nearly 1 trillion won ($874.2
million) worth of the country's bonds in the first 27 days of
October, preliminary data from a financial regulator showed.
Offshore investors have been cutting South Korean bond
holdings in recent months on waning expectations for a central
bank interest rate cut and doubts over further appreciation in
the won.
Sentiment deteriorated as President Park's popularity
plunged to a record low on allegations that an old friend
enjoyed inappropriate influence over her.
"The issue provided another excuse foreign investors to sell
bonds when they need to adjust their global portfolio with U.S.
interest rates expected to rise," said Keonhyeong Ha, an
economist at Shinhan Investment Corp in Seoul.
"Some long-term foreign investors are banned from investing
in countries, which face such scandals," Ha added.
A South Korean finance ministry official told Reuters
earlier that recent foreign sales of the country's bonds are
unrelated to the current political issues.
Political crisis often hurt investors' sentiment. Last year,
Malaysia suffered massive bond outflows when Prime Minister
Najib Razak was hit by a corruption scandal at state fund
1Malaysia Development Berhad (1MDB).
Among other regional currencies, the yuan has eased 0.2
percent on the course for a fourth straight weekly depreciation
on fears of capital outflows.
The Philippine peso has lost 0.3 percent as
foreign investors were net sellers in the local equities
over the previous four straight sessions.
Malaysia's ringgit has also slumped 0.3 percent as
lower crude prices bode poorly for the country's oil and gas
revenues.
Oil prices were set to report a weekly loss of more than 2
percent due to uncertainty whether OPEC would be able to
coordinate a production cut big enough to curb global
oversupply.
CURRENCIES VS U.S. DOLLAR
Change on the day at 0430 GMT
Currency Latest bid Previous day Pct Move
Japan yen 105.15 105.28 +0.12
Sing dlr 1.3939 1.3949 +0.07
Taiwan dlr 31.607 31.637 +0.09
Korean won 1143.93 1142.50 -0.13
Baht 35.11 35.05 -0.17
Peso 48.470 48.470 0.00
Rupiah 13039 13032 -0.05
Rupee 66.87 66.86 -0.01
Ringgit 4.1945 4.1810 -0.32
Yuan 6.7791 6.7810 +0.03
Change so far in 2016
Currency Latest bid End prev year Pct Move
Japan yen 105.15 120.30 +14.41
Sing dlr 1.3939 1.4177 +1.71
Taiwan dlr 31.607 33.066 +4.62
Korean won 1143.93 1172.50 +2.50
Baht 35.11 36.00 +2.53
Peso 48.47 47.06 -2.91
Rupiah 13039 13785 +5.72
Rupee 66.87 66.15 -1.07
Ringgit 4.1945 4.2935 +2.36
Yuan 6.7791 6.4936 -4.21
(Reporting by Jongwoo Cheon; Editing by Simon Cameron-Moore)