EM ASIA FX-Won leads gains ahead of U.S. jobs; Asia FX set for weekly losses
* Won, Taiwan dollar up on exporters, capital inflows
* Ringgit leads weekly Asia FX losses
(Adds text, updates prices)
By Jongwoo Cheon
SINGAPORE, March 6 (Reuters) - Most emerging Asian
currencies edged up on Friday to recover some of their weekly
losses as traders covered short positions ahead of U.S. jobs
data later in the day.
South Korea's won outperformed on demand from
exporters for settlements and bond inflows. The Taiwan dollar
rose on foreign stock inflows and exporters' bids.
Investors were focusing on U.S. non-farm payrolls for
February due later in the day. Analysts polled by Reuters expect
payrolls to have increased 240,000 last month and the jobless
rate to have ticked down to 5.6 percent from 5.7 percent.
Higher-than-expected U.S. jobs data would increase
expectations that the Federal Reserve could raise interest rates
earlier, analysts and traders said.
"A solid jobs number will lift U.S. bond yields and the
dollar. That will definitely hurt Asian currencies," said Jeong
My-young, Samsung Futures' research head in Seoul, referring to
growth in U.S. jobs of more than 240,000.
"Such expectations, however, have been priced in pretty
much. So, any disappointment will help Asian currencies
rebound," Jeong added.
Most emerging Asian currencies have already fallen so far
this week as interest rate cuts by China and India spurred
prospects of regional easing.
Sentiment towards regional units deteriorated in the last
two weeks with short positions in the yuan at a near
five-year high, a Reuters poll showed on Thursday.
RINGGIT UNDERPERFORMS
For this week, the Malaysian ringgit led losses
among emerging Asian currencies with a 1.2 percent slide against
the dollar, Thomson Reuters data showed.
The currency came under pressure on concerns over slowing
growth. Malaysia's exports in January fell 0.6 percent from a
year earlier, missing a 3.0 percent growth forecast.
"We still expect ringgit weakness to persist on a
combination of factors including strong USD trend, soft oil
prices for an extended period, vulnerability to foreign fund
outflow and heightened risk of rating downgrade following
contingent liability exposure, lower fiscal revenue," Maybank
said in a client note.
Currency traders have not reacted to news that the country's
indebted and controversy-ridden state investor 1MDB will be left
as a skeletal structure and possibly dissolved under a debt
repayment plan in which most of its assets will be sold.
Traders also ignored the central bank's decision on Thursday
to leave interest rates unchanged, as that was widely expected.
India's rupee fell 0.6 percent as the central bank
was suspected of intervening to stem its appreciation. The
Reserve Bank of India on Wednesday slashed its key policy repo
rate by 25 basis points to 7.5 percent, its second
cut outside of a scheduled meeting this year.
The Singapore dollar has lost 0.5 percent on
increasing expectations of further monetary policy easing in
April by the central bank to support growth.
The Indonesian rupiah has slid 0.4 percent. The
rupiah on Thursday fell below psychological support of 13,000
per dollar for the first time since the 1997-98 Asian financial
crisis, as the central bank said a weaker rupiah helps export
competitiveness improve.
Thailand's baht has eased 0.3 percent, while the
Philippine peso edged weaker.
By contrast, the yuan has gained 0.1 percent as some
investors saw the currency's fall to a two-year low earlier this
week as excessive.
CURRENCIES VS U.S. DOLLAR
Change on the day at 0450 GMT
Currency Latest bid Previous day Pct Move
Japan yen 119.97 120.14 +0.14
Sing dlr 1.3686 1.3710 +0.18
Taiwan dlr 31.440 31.507 +0.21
Korean won 1097.90 1101.30 +0.31
Baht 32.41 32.42 +0.03
Peso 44.11 44.13 +0.03
Rupiah 12975.00 12985.00 +0.08
*Rupee 62.17 62.17 0.00
Ringgit 3.6470 3.6485 +0.04
Yuan 6.2648 6.2662 +0.02
Change so far in 2015
Currency Latest bid End prev year Pct Move
Japan yen 119.97 119.66 -0.26
Sing dlr 1.3686 1.3260 -3.11
Taiwan dlr 31.440 31.718 +0.88
Korean won 1097.90 1099.30 +0.13
Baht 32.41 32.90 +1.51
Peso 44.11 44.72 +1.38
Rupiah 12975.00 12380.00 -4.59
Rupee 62.16 63.03 +1.41
Ringgit 3.6470 3.4965 -4.13
Yuan 6.2648 6.2040 -0.97
* Financial markets in India are closed for a holiday.
(Additional reporting by Roger Tung in TAIPEI; Editing by
Jacqueline Wong)