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Emmys: Scripted Variety – Could ‘A Black Lady Sketch Show’ Receive a Farewell Statuette?

Variety Awards Circuit section is the home for all awards news and related content throughout the year, featuring the following: the official predictions for the upcoming Oscars, Emmys, Grammys and Tony Awards ceremonies, curated by Variety senior awards editor Clayton Davis. The prediction pages reflect the current standings in the race and do not reflect personal preferences for any individual contender. As other formal (and informal) polls suggest, competitions are fluid and subject to change based on buzz and events. Predictions are updated every Thursday.

Visit the prediction pages for the respective ceremonies via the links below:

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OSCARS | EMMYS | GRAMMYS | TONYS

2023 Emmy Predictions:
Outstanding Scripted Variety Series

Exorcism SNL Sketch
SATURDAY NIGHT LIVE — “Jenna Ortega, The 1975” Episode 1841 — Pictured: (l-r) Ego Nwodim as Ms. Shaw, Andrew Dismukes as , Chloe Fineman as , host Jenna Ortega as Claire, and James Austin Johnson as during the “Exorcism” sketch on Saturday, March 11, 2023 — (Photo by: Will Heath/NBC)

Weekly Commentary (Updated Aug. 24, 2023): The road for Robin Thede’s “A Black Lady Sketch Show” to win its overdue Emmy faces substantial obstacles due to the competition of reigning champion “Saturday Night Live” from NBC and her HBO counterpart, “Last Week Tonight with John Oliver.”

The sketch series has claimed three history-making Emmy statuettes over its seasons. In 2021, the show won the award for outstanding picture editing for variety programming (Daysha Broadway, Stephanie Filo and Jess Hernandez), becoming the first-ever all-women-of-color team recognized for nominations and winning. At last year’s ceremony, along with a consecutive win for editing (Filo, Taylor Mason, Bradinn French and S. Robyn Wilson), Bridget Stokes became the first Black woman to win directing for a variety series for helming the episode “Save My Edges, I’m a Donor!,” breaking “SNL’s” five-year winning streak.

Will the TV Academy voters feel compelled to vote for it?

Read: Variety’s Awards Circuit for the latest Primetime Emmy predictions in the major categories.

Noteworthy, the last time Lorne Michaels faced a late-night host was in 2014 when “The Colbert Report” won for outstanding variety series. The following year, the Television Academy created two categories for talk series and scripted variety.

The rankings for the category are below.

The final Emmy voting rounds open on Aug. 17 at 9 a.m. PT and close on Aug. 28 at 10 p.m. PST. The 75th Emmy Awards are scheduled to air on Monday, Jan. 15, 2024, at 8 p.m. ET/ 5 p.m. PT. The Creative Arts ceremony will occur on Saturday, Jan. 6, and Sunday, Jan. 7. An edited version will air on FXX on Saturday, Jan. 13, 2024, at 8 p.m. ET. All events will take place at the Peacock Theater at LA Live.

Read: Variety’s Awards Circuit for the latest Creative Arts predictions in all categories.


And the Nominees Are:


  1. Last Week Tonight with John Oliver” (HBO)
    John Oliver (executive producer, host), Tim Carvell, Liz Stanton, (executive producers), Jeremy Tchaban (co-executive producer), Catherine Owens (supervising producer), Whit Conway, Kaye Foley, Laura L. Griffin, Christopher McDaniel, Kate Mullaney, Matt Passet, Megan Peck Shub, Wynn Van Dusen, Marian Wang, Charles Wilson (producers), Nicole Franza (line producer)

  2. Saturday Night Live” (NBC)
    Lorne Michaels (executive producer), Javier Winnick (supervising producer), Erin Doyle, Tom Broecker, Caroline Maroney (producers), Steve Higgins, Erik Kenward (produced by)

  3. A Black Lady Sketch Show” (HBO)
    Robin Thede, Issa Rae, Tony Hernandez, Brooke Posch, Dave Becky, Jonathan Berry (executive producers), Chloé Hilliard, Linda Morel, Monique Moses, Bridget Stokes (co-executive producers), Corin Wells, Montrel McKay, John Skidmore (producers)


All Eligible Titles (Alphabetized by Network)**


** This official list and/or category submission is not yet complete or confirmed and is subject to change.

2022 category winner: “Saturday Night Live” (NBC) — Season 48 — Lorne Michaels, executive producer; Javier Winnik, supervising producer; Lindsay Shookus, Erin Doyle, Tom Broecker and Caroline Maroney, producers; Steve Higgins and Erik Kenward, produced by


Emmy Awards Predictions Categories

DRAMA SERIES | COMEDY SERIES | LIMITED OR ANTHOLOGY SERIES | TV MOVIE | LEAD ACTOR (DRAMA) | LEAD ACTOR (COMEDY) | LEAD ACTOR (LIMITED/TV MOVIE) | LEAD ACTRESS (DRAMA) | LEAD ACTRESS (COMEDY) | LEAD ACTRESS (LIMITED/TV MOVIE) | SUPPORTING ACTOR (DRAMA) | SUPPORTING ACTOR (COMEDY) | SUPPORTING ACTOR (LIMITED/TV MOVIE) | SUPPORTING ACTRESS (DRAMA) | SUPPORTING ACTRESS (COMEDY) | SUPPORTING ACTRESS (LIMITED/TV MOVIE) | TALK SERIES | SCRIPTED VARIETY | GAME SHOW | DIRECTING (DRAMA, COMEDY, LIMITED/TV MOVIE) | WRITING (DRAMA, COMEDY, LIMITED/TV MOVIE) | REALITY (COMPETITION, STRUCTURED, UNSTRUCTURED, HOST)

Creative Arts and Other Emmy Categories

GUEST ACTOR (DRAMA) | GUEST ACTRESS (DRAMA) | GUEST ACTOR (COMEDY) | GUEST ACTRESS (COMEDY) | VOICE-OVER | SHORT FORM | DOCUMENTARY | MUSIC | ANIMATED | OTHER CATEGORIES

About the Primetime Emmy Awards

The Primetime Emmy Awards, better known as the Emmys, are given out by the Academy of Television Arts & Sciences (ATAS). Since 1949, the awards have recognized excellence in American primetime television programming. They are divided into three classes – Primetime Emmy Awards, the Primetime Creative Arts Emmy Awards (honors artisan achievements), and the Primetime Engineering Emmy Awards (recognizes significant engineering and technological contributions). The typical eligibility period is between June 1 and May 31 of any given year. The Television Academy comprises over 25,000 members, representing 30 professional peer groups, including performers, directors, producers, art directors, artisans, and executives.

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