Advertisement
UK markets open in 2 hours 41 minutes
  • NIKKEI 225

    39,079.28
    +462.18 (+1.20%)
     
  • HANG SENG

    18,930.02
    -265.58 (-1.38%)
     
  • CRUDE OIL

    77.09
    -0.48 (-0.62%)
     
  • GOLD FUTURES

    2,374.80
    -18.10 (-0.76%)
     
  • DOW

    39,671.04
    -201.95 (-0.51%)
     
  • Bitcoin GBP

    54,534.94
    -315.85 (-0.58%)
     
  • CMC Crypto 200

    1,512.50
    -13.92 (-0.91%)
     
  • NASDAQ Composite

    16,801.54
    -31.08 (-0.18%)
     
  • UK FTSE All Share

    4,560.55
    -23.85 (-0.52%)
     

Europe Inc's recession expected to deepen as third-quarter earnings outlook dims - Refinitiv

A trader works as a screen shows market data behind him in London

LONDON (Reuters) - Europe's corporate recession is expected to deepen, the latest forecasts show, as companies struggle with uncertainties from Brexit, the protracted U.S.-China trade spat and Germany's manufacturing recession.

Companies listed on the STOXX 600 <.STOXX> regional index are now expected to report a drop of as much as 3.7% in third-quarter earnings, worse than the 3% fall expected a week ago, I/B/E/S data from Refinitiv showed.

Earnings that grew by 14.4% in the same quarter a year earlier are seen posting their worst EPS since Q3 2016 when earnings fell 5%.

Consensus for revenue improved slightly with forecasts for flat growth, compared with a fall of 0.3% seen last week. Revenue rose 5.9% a year ago and grew by 3.3% in Q2.

ADVERTISEMENT

Excluding the energy sector, Q3 earnings are expected to fall just 0.3% with revenue increasing 3.1%, the data showed.

As the global economy falters, investors have braced for a tough earnings season, which kicks off in earnest next week and will test the stock market's stellar rally this year.

The pan European STOXX 600 <.STOXX> index is up 16.6% this year.

Companies in the region have been in an earnings recession since the second quarter when earnings fell 2.1%, posting their second straight quarterly fall. About 80 companies are due to report next week.

Q4 forecasts were reined in, I/B/E/S data from Refinitiv showed, with EPS expected to grow 9.1%, down from 9.6% last week, and revenue seen growing by 3.2%, down from 3.4% last week.

(Graphic: Europe vs U.S. earnings https://fingfx.thomsonreuters.com/gfx/mkt/12/7432/7363/earnings.png)

(Reporting by Josephine Mason; editing by Jason Neely)