Yahoo Finance ExlService Holdings Stock Gives Every Indication Of Being Significantly Overvalued
- By GF Value
The stock of ExlService Holdings (NAS:EXLS, 30-year Financials) is believed to be significantly overvalued, according to GuruFocus Value calculation. GuruFocus Value is GuruFocus' estimate of the fair value at which the stock should be traded. It is calculated based on the historical multiples that the stock has traded at, the past business growth and analyst estimates of future business performance. If the price of a stock is significantly above the GF Value Line, it is overvalued and its future return is likely to be poor. On the other hand, if it is significantly below the GF Value Line, its future return will likely be higher. At its current price of $97.93 per share and the market cap of $3.3 billion, ExlService Holdings stock is believed to be significantly overvalued. GF Value for ExlService Holdings is shown in the chart below.
Because ExlService Holdings is significantly overvalued, the long-term return of its stock is likely to be much lower than its future business growth, which averaged 8.5% over the past five years.
Link: These companies may deliever higher future returns at reduced risk.
Since investing in companies with low financial strength could result in permanent capital loss, investors must carefully review a company's financial strength before deciding whether to buy shares. Looking at the cash-to-debt ratio and interest coverage can give a good initial perspective on the company's financial strength. ExlService Holdings has a cash-to-debt ratio of 1.14, which ranks worse than 66% of the companies in Software industry. Based on this, GuruFocus ranks ExlService Holdings's financial strength as 7 out of 10, suggesting fair balance sheet. This is the debt and cash of ExlService Holdings over the past years:
Investing in profitable companies carries less risk, especially in companies that have demonstrated consistent profitability over the long term. Typically, a company with high profit margins offers better performance potential than a company with low profit margins. ExlService Holdings has been profitable 10 years over the past 10 years. During the past 12 months, the company had revenues of $973.9 million and earnings of $2.87 a share. Its operating margin of 12.74% better than 76% of the companies in Software industry. Overall, GuruFocus ranks ExlService Holdings's profitability as strong. This is the revenue and net income of ExlService Holdings over the past years:
Growth is probably the most important factor in the valuation of a company. GuruFocus research has found that growth is closely correlated with the long term stock performance of a company. A faster growing company creates more value for shareholders, especially if the growth is profitable. The 3-year average annual revenue growth of ExlService Holdings is 8.5%, which ranks in the middle range of the companies in Software industry. The 3-year average EBITDA growth rate is 18.1%, which ranks in the middle range of the companies in Software industry.
Another method of determining the profitability of a company is to compare its return on invested capital to the weighted average cost of capital. Return on invested capital (ROIC) measures how well a company generates cash flow relative to the capital it has invested in its business. The weighted average cost of capital (WACC) is the rate that a company is expected to pay on average to all its security holders to finance its assets. When the ROIC is higher than the WACC, it implies the company is creating value for shareholders. For the past 12 months, ExlService Holdings's return on invested capital is 12.92, and its cost of capital is 6.93. The historical ROIC vs WACC comparison of ExlService Holdings is shown below:
Overall, the stock of ExlService Holdings (NAS:EXLS, 30-year Financials) is estimated to be significantly overvalued. The company's financial condition is fair and its profitability is strong. Its growth ranks in the middle range of the companies in Software industry. To learn more about ExlService Holdings stock, you can check out its 30-year Financials here.
To find out the high quality companies that may deliever above average returns, please check out GuruFocus High Quality Low Capex Screener.
This article first appeared on GuruFocus.
