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Falling Earnings Estimates Signal Weakness Ahead for Mosaic (MOS)

Similar to wise buying decisions, exiting certain underperformers at the right time helps maximize portfolio returns. Selling off losers can be difficult, but if both the share price and estimates are falling, it could be time to get rid of the security before more losses hit your portfolio.

One such stock that you may want to consider dropping is The Mosaic Company MOS, which has witnessed a significant price decline in the past four weeks, and it has seen negative earnings estimate revisions for the current quarter and the current year. A Zacks Rank #5 (Strong Sell) further confirms weakness in MOS.

A key reason for this move has been the negative trend in earnings estimate revisions. For the full year, we have seen five estimates moving down in the past 30 days, compared with no upward revisions. This trend has caused the consensus estimate to trend lower, going from 97 cents a share a month ago to its current level of 53 cents.

Also, for the current quarter, Mosaic has seen three downward estimate revisions versus no revisions in the opposite direction, dragging the consensus estimate down to 8 cents a share from 33 cents over the past 30 days.

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The stock also has seen some pretty dismal trading lately, as the share price has dropped 9.4% in the past month.

The Mosaic Company Price and Consensus

The Mosaic Company Price and Consensus
The Mosaic Company Price and Consensus

The Mosaic Company price-consensus-chart | The Mosaic Company Quote

So it may not be a good decision to keep this stock in your portfolio anymore, at least if you don’t have a long time horizon to wait.

If you are still interested in the Basic Materials sector, you may instead consider a better-ranked stock - Arconic Inc. ARNC. The stock currently holds a Zacks Rank #2 (Buy) and may be a better selection at this time. You can see the complete list of today’s Zacks #1 Rank (Strong Buy) stocks here.

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The Mosaic Company (MOS) : Free Stock Analysis Report
 
Arconic Inc. (ARNC) : Free Stock Analysis Report
 
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