Russian, U.S. LNG heads for Europe as Asian prices weaken
(Adds detail on LNG trade economics, tightening Europe-Asia
spread, cargo arrivals)
By Oleg Vukmanovic
LONDON, March 15 (Reuters) - Falling Asian gas prices are
reigniting interest in northwest Europe as a liquefied natural
gas (LNG) destination following winter shortages as Russia and
the United States step up deliveries.
Price swings prompted Royal Dutch Shell (LSE: 0LN9.L - news) on Thursday
to divert the first shipment from the new Cove Point export
plant in the United States away from Asia to Britain.
More supply from Russia's newly built plant in Siberia at
Yamal is likely to be absorbed by northwest Europe as arbitrage
opportunities with Asia dry up amid a post-winter price slump
there, trade sources said.
Asia's spot LNG premium over European gas hubs has shrunk to
around $1 per million British thermal units, driven by divergent
weather patterns.
Mild weather is sapping demand in major LNG consumers China
and Japan as cold blasts depleted Europe's gas inventories.
Tighter spreads limit traders' ability to divert
Atlantic (Shanghai: 600558.SS - news) -produced supply east after shipping costs rose last
year.
For example, a cargo held in storage at Rotterdam's Gate LNG
terminal has gone unsold due to diminished incentives, traders
said.
So far this year, two Yamal cargoes unloaded at British
terminals for domestic consumption, accounting for about a third
of Britain's 2018 LNG imports after typical supplier Qatar
pre-sold the bulk of its winter output to Asia last year.
Qatari LNG shipments to northwest Europe should also pick up
from April as Asian demand eases, traders said.
A Norwegian shipment arrived in Britain last week.
From April, the availability of Yamal LNG cargoes may be
restricted as long-term contracts commence. Currently all Yamal
LNG is sold via spot markets.
Under long-term deals, destination restrictions may limit
where Yamal's customers - PetroChina (HKSE: 0857-OL.HK - news) , Russia's Novatek, Spain's
Gas Natural (Frankfurt: 38G.F - news) , France's Engie (LSE: 0LD0.L - news) , trader Gunvor and Shell (LSE: RDSB.L - news) - can sell
supply.
Curbs will vary by contract but traders still expect a large
chunk of volumes to flow into European terminals - where they
can then be re-exported - until thawing ice sheets allow passage
to Asia directly in the summer months.
In Britain, Russian LNG deliveries have drawn scrutiny after
Prime Minister Theresa May accused Moscow of poisoning a Russian
ex-spy with a rare nerve agent in England.
"We estimate less than 1 percent of our gas comes from
Russia and are in no way reliant on it," a spokeswoman for the
Department for Business, Energy and Industrial Strategy said.
British utility Centrica (Frankfurt: A0DK6K - news) has a contract with the trading arm
of Russia's Gazprom for 4.16 billion cubic metres a year until
2021, but that gas does not necessarily come from Russia and is
most likely sourced from the open market.
(Additional reporting by Susanna Twidale; Editing by Dale
Hudson)