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What Is FirstEnergy's (NYSE:FE) P/E Ratio After Its Share Price Tanked?

To the annoyance of some shareholders, FirstEnergy (NYSE:FE) shares are down a considerable 34% in the last month. Even longer term holders have taken a real hit with the stock declining 15% in the last year.

All else being equal, a share price drop should make a stock more attractive to potential investors. In the long term, share prices tend to follow earnings per share, but in the short term prices bounce around in response to short term factors (which are not always obvious). So, on certain occasions, long term focussed investors try to take advantage of pessimistic expectations to buy shares at a better price. Perhaps the simplest way to get a read on investors' expectations of a business is to look at its Price to Earnings Ratio (PE Ratio). Investors have optimistic expectations of companies with higher P/E ratios, compared to companies with lower P/E ratios.

Check out our latest analysis for FirstEnergy

Does FirstEnergy Have A Relatively High Or Low P/E For Its Industry?

We can tell from its P/E ratio of 20.39 that there is some investor optimism about FirstEnergy. The image below shows that FirstEnergy has a higher P/E than the average (18.3) P/E for companies in the electric utilities industry.

NYSE:FE Price Estimation Relative to Market, March 17th 2020
NYSE:FE Price Estimation Relative to Market, March 17th 2020

FirstEnergy's P/E tells us that market participants think the company will perform better than its industry peers, going forward. The market is optimistic about the future, but that doesn't guarantee future growth. So investors should delve deeper. I like to check if company insiders have been buying or selling.

How Growth Rates Impact P/E Ratios

Probably the most important factor in determining what P/E a company trades on is the earnings growth. If earnings are growing quickly, then the 'E' in the equation will increase faster than it would otherwise. Therefore, even if you pay a high multiple of earnings now, that multiple will become lower in the future. And as that P/E ratio drops, the company will look cheap, unless its share price increases.

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It's nice to see that FirstEnergy grew EPS by a stonking 26% in the last year. And its annual EPS growth rate over 5 years is 27%. I'd therefore be a little surprised if its P/E ratio was not relatively high.

Remember: P/E Ratios Don't Consider The Balance Sheet

The 'Price' in P/E reflects the market capitalization of the company. So it won't reflect the advantage of cash, or disadvantage of debt. The exact same company would hypothetically deserve a higher P/E ratio if it had a strong balance sheet, than if it had a weak one with lots of debt, because a cashed up company can spend on growth.

While growth expenditure doesn't always pay off, the point is that it is a good option to have; but one that the P/E ratio ignores.

How Does FirstEnergy's Debt Impact Its P/E Ratio?

Net debt totals a substantial 110% of FirstEnergy's market cap. This is a relatively high level of debt, so the stock probably deserves a relatively low P/E ratio. Keep that in mind when comparing it to other companies.

The Verdict On FirstEnergy's P/E Ratio

FirstEnergy's P/E is 20.4 which is above average (12.7) in its market. It has already proven it can grow earnings, but the debt levels mean it faces some risks. It seems the market believes growth will continue, judging by the P/E ratio. What can be absolutely certain is that the market has become significantly less optimistic about FirstEnergy over the last month, with the P/E ratio falling from 31.0 back then to 20.4 today. For those who don't like to trade against momentum, that could be a warning sign, but a contrarian investor might want to take a closer look.

Investors have an opportunity when market expectations about a stock are wrong. As value investor Benjamin Graham famously said, 'In the short run, the market is a voting machine but in the long run, it is a weighing machine. So this free report on the analyst consensus forecasts could help you make a master move on this stock.

But note: FirstEnergy may not be the best stock to buy. So take a peek at this free list of interesting companies with strong recent earnings growth (and a P/E ratio below 20).

If you spot an error that warrants correction, please contact the editor at editorial-team@simplywallst.com. This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. Simply Wall St has no position in the stocks mentioned.

We aim to bring you long-term focused research analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Thank you for reading.