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General Dynamics Stock Gives Every Indication Of Being Fairly Valued

- By GF Value

The stock of General Dynamics (NYSE:GD, 30-year Financials) is believed to be fairly valued, according to GuruFocus Value calculation. GuruFocus Value is GuruFocus' estimate of the fair value at which the stock should be traded. It is calculated based on the historical multiples that the stock has traded at, the past business growth and analyst estimates of future business performance. If the price of a stock is significantly above the GF Value Line, it is overvalued and its future return is likely to be poor. On the other hand, if it is significantly below the GF Value Line, its future return will likely be higher. At its current price of $185.26 per share and the market cap of $52.5 billion, General Dynamics stock is estimated to be fairly valued. GF Value for General Dynamics is shown in the chart below.


General Dynamics Stock Gives Every Indication Of Being Fairly Valued
General Dynamics Stock Gives Every Indication Of Being Fairly Valued

Because General Dynamics is fairly valued, the long-term return of its stock is likely to be close to the rate of its business growth, which averaged 9% over the past three years and is estimated to grow 2.42% annually over the next three to five years.

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It is always important to check the financial strength of a company before buying its stock. Investing in companies with poor financial strength have a higher risk of permanent loss. Looking at the cash-to-debt ratio and interest coverage is a great way to understand the financial strength of a company. General Dynamics has a cash-to-debt ratio of 0.20, which is worse than 76% of the companies in Aerospace & Defense industry. The overall financial strength of General Dynamics is 5 out of 10, which indicates that the financial strength of General Dynamics is fair. This is the debt and cash of General Dynamics over the past years:

General Dynamics Stock Gives Every Indication Of Being Fairly Valued
General Dynamics Stock Gives Every Indication Of Being Fairly Valued

It is less risky to invest in profitable companies, especially those with consistent profitability over long term. A company with high profit margins is usually a safer investment than those with low profit margins. General Dynamics has been profitable 9 over the past 10 years. Over the past twelve months, the company had a revenue of $37.9 billion and earnings of $11 a share. Its operating margin is 10.90%, which ranks better than 72% of the companies in Aerospace & Defense industry. Overall, the profitability of General Dynamics is ranked 8 out of 10, which indicates strong profitability. This is the revenue and net income of General Dynamics over the past years:

General Dynamics Stock Gives Every Indication Of Being Fairly Valued
General Dynamics Stock Gives Every Indication Of Being Fairly Valued

Growth is probably one of the most important factors in the valuation of a company. GuruFocus' research has found that growth is closely correlated with the long-term performance of a company's stock. If a company's business is growing, the company usually creates value for its shareholders, especially if the growth is profitable. Likewise, if a company's revenue and earnings are declining, the value of the company will decrease. General Dynamics's 3-year average revenue growth rate is better than 71% of the companies in Aerospace & Defense industry. General Dynamics's 3-year average EBITDA growth rate is 5.2%, which ranks in the middle range of the companies in Aerospace & Defense industry.

One can also evaluate a company's profitability by comparing its return on invested capital (ROIC) to its weighted average cost of capital (WACC). Return on invested capital (ROIC) measures how well a company generates cash flow relative to the capital it has invested in its business. The weighted average cost of capital (WACC) is the rate that a company is expected to pay on average to all its security holders to finance its assets. If the return on invested capital exceeds the weighted average cost of capital, the company is likely creating value for its shareholders. During the past 12 months, General Dynamics's ROIC is 7.84 while its WACC came in at 7.31. The historical ROIC vs WACC comparison of General Dynamics is shown below:

General Dynamics Stock Gives Every Indication Of Being Fairly Valued
General Dynamics Stock Gives Every Indication Of Being Fairly Valued

In closing, the stock of General Dynamics (NYSE:GD, 30-year Financials) is believed to be fairly valued. The company's financial condition is fair and its profitability is strong. Its growth ranks in the middle range of the companies in Aerospace & Defense industry. To learn more about General Dynamics stock, you can check out its 30-year Financials here.

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This article first appeared on GuruFocus.