Advertisement
UK markets close in 3 hours 54 minutes
  • FTSE 100

    8,299.47
    +85.98 (+1.05%)
     
  • FTSE 250

    20,402.42
    +237.88 (+1.18%)
     
  • AIM

    777.46
    +5.93 (+0.77%)
     
  • GBP/EUR

    1.1651
    -0.0009 (-0.07%)
     
  • GBP/USD

    1.2547
    -0.0017 (-0.13%)
     
  • Bitcoin GBP

    51,024.21
    -209.49 (-0.41%)
     
  • CMC Crypto 200

    1,328.58
    -36.55 (-2.68%)
     
  • S&P 500

    5,180.74
    +52.95 (+1.03%)
     
  • DOW

    38,852.27
    +176.59 (+0.46%)
     
  • CRUDE OIL

    78.16
    -0.32 (-0.41%)
     
  • GOLD FUTURES

    2,323.70
    -7.50 (-0.32%)
     
  • NIKKEI 225

    38,835.10
    +599.03 (+1.57%)
     
  • HANG SENG

    18,479.37
    -98.93 (-0.53%)
     
  • DAX

    18,294.21
    +119.00 (+0.65%)
     
  • CAC 40

    8,028.23
    +31.59 (+0.40%)
     

The GL Events (EPA:GLO) Share Price Is Down 51% So Some Shareholders Are Wishing They Sold

For many investors, the main point of stock picking is to generate higher returns than the overall market. But the risk of stock picking is that you will likely buy under-performing companies. Unfortunately, that's been the case for longer term GL Events SA (EPA:GLO) shareholders, since the share price is down 51% in the last three years, falling well short of the market decline of around 3.0%. The more recent news is of little comfort, with the share price down 50% in a year. The falls have accelerated recently, with the share price down 47% in the last three months. Of course, this share price action may well have been influenced by the 24% decline in the broader market, throughout the period.

See our latest analysis for GL Events

To quote Buffett, 'Ships will sail around the world but the Flat Earth Society will flourish. There will continue to be wide discrepancies between price and value in the marketplace...' By comparing earnings per share (EPS) and share price changes over time, we can get a feel for how investor attitudes to a company have morphed over time.

ADVERTISEMENT

Although the share price is down over three years, GL Events actually managed to grow EPS by 9.9% per year in that time. This is quite a puzzle, and suggests there might be something temporarily buoying the share price. Or else the company was over-hyped in the past, and so its growth has disappointed.

Since the change in EPS doesn't seem to correlate with the change in share price, it's worth taking a look at other metrics.

Revenue is actually up 7.0% over the three years, so the share price drop doesn't seem to hinge on revenue, either. It's probably worth investigating GL Events further; while we may be missing something on this analysis, there might also be an opportunity.

You can see below how earnings and revenue have changed over time (discover the exact values by clicking on the image).

ENXTPA:GLO Income Statement May 24th 2020
ENXTPA:GLO Income Statement May 24th 2020

We're pleased to report that the CEO is remunerated more modestly than most CEOs at similarly capitalized companies. It's always worth keeping an eye on CEO pay, but a more important question is whether the company will grow earnings throughout the years. If you are thinking of buying or selling GL Events stock, you should check out this free report showing analyst profit forecasts.

What about the Total Shareholder Return (TSR)?

We've already covered GL Events's share price action, but we should also mention its total shareholder return (TSR). The TSR is a return calculation that accounts for the value of cash dividends (assuming that any dividend received was reinvested) and the calculated value of any discounted capital raisings and spin-offs. GL Events's TSR of was a loss of 45% for the 3 years. That wasn't as bad as its share price return, because it has paid dividends.

A Different Perspective

We regret to report that GL Events shareholders are down 49% for the year. Unfortunately, that's worse than the broader market decline of 12%. Having said that, it's inevitable that some stocks will be oversold in a falling market. The key is to keep your eyes on the fundamental developments. Regrettably, last year's performance caps off a bad run, with the shareholders facing a total loss of 6.3% per year over five years. Generally speaking long term share price weakness can be a bad sign, though contrarian investors might want to research the stock in hope of a turnaround. While it is well worth considering the different impacts that market conditions can have on the share price, there are other factors that are even more important. Even so, be aware that GL Events is showing 2 warning signs in our investment analysis , you should know about...

We will like GL Events better if we see some big insider buys. While we wait, check out this free list of growing companies with considerable, recent, insider buying.

Please note, the market returns quoted in this article reflect the market weighted average returns of stocks that currently trade on FR exchanges.

Love or hate this article? Concerned about the content? Get in touch with us directly. Alternatively, email editorial-team@simplywallst.com.

This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned. Thank you for reading.