- By GF Value
The stock of Global Net Lease (NYSE:GNL, 30-year Financials) appears to be fairly valued, according to GuruFocus Value calculation. GuruFocus Value is GuruFocus' estimate of the fair value at which the stock should be traded. It is calculated based on the historical multiples that the stock has traded at, the past business growth and analyst estimates of future business performance. If the price of a stock is significantly above the GF Value Line, it is overvalued and its future return is likely to be poor. On the other hand, if it is significantly below the GF Value Line, its future return will likely be higher. At its current price of $18.73 per share and the market cap of $1.8 billion, Global Net Lease stock gives every indication of being fairly valued. GF Value for Global Net Lease is shown in the chart below.
Because Global Net Lease is fairly valued, the long-term return of its stock is likely to be close to the rate of its business growth.
It is always important to check the financial strength of a company before buying its stock. Investing in companies with poor financial strength have a higher risk of permanent loss. Looking at the cash-to-debt ratio and interest coverage is a great way to understand the financial strength of a company. Global Net Lease has a cash-to-debt ratio of 0.12, which is better than 67% of the companies in REITs industry. The overall financial strength of Global Net Lease is 3 out of 10, which indicates that the financial strength of Global Net Lease is poor. This is the debt and cash of Global Net Lease over the past years:
It is less risky to invest in profitable companies, especially those with consistent profitability over long term. A company with high profit margins is usually a safer investment than those with low profit margins. Global Net Lease has been profitable 5 over the past 10 years. Over the past twelve months, the company had a revenue of $340.3 million and loss of $0.16 a share. Its operating margin is 29.91%, which ranks worse than 68% of the companies in REITs industry. Overall, the profitability of Global Net Lease is ranked 5 out of 10, which indicates fair profitability. This is the revenue and net income of Global Net Lease over the past years:
One of the most important factors in the valuation of a company is growth. Long-term stock performance is closely correlated with growth according to GuruFocus research. Companies that grow faster create more value for shareholders, especially if that growth is profitable. The average annual revenue growth of Global Net Lease is -1.6%, which ranks in the middle range of the companies in REITs industry. The 3-year average EBITDA growth is -3.8%, which ranks in the middle range of the companies in REITs industry.
Another method of determining the profitability of a company is to compare its return on invested capital to the weighted average cost of capital. Return on invested capital (ROIC) measures how well a company generates cash flow relative to the capital it has invested in its business. The weighted average cost of capital (WACC) is the rate that a company is expected to pay on average to all its security holders to finance its assets. When the ROIC is higher than the WACC, it implies the company is creating value for shareholders. For the past 12 months, Global Net Lease's return on invested capital is 1.33, and its cost of capital is 5.68. The historical ROIC vs WACC comparison of Global Net Lease is shown below:
In summary, The stock of Global Net Lease (NYSE:GNL, 30-year Financials) is estimated to be fairly valued. The company's financial condition is poor and its profitability is fair. Its growth ranks in the middle range of the companies in REITs industry. To learn more about Global Net Lease stock, you can check out its 30-year Financials here.
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This article first appeared on GuruFocus.