Global Payments (GPN) Hits Fresh High: Is There Still Room to Run?

Shares of Global Payments (GPN) have been strong performers lately, with the stock up 5% over the past month. The stock hit a new 52-week high of $186.67 in the previous session. Global Payments has gained 1.7% since the start of the year compared to the 1% move for the Zacks Business Services sector and the 1.4% return for the Zacks Financial Transaction Services industry.

What's Driving the Outperformance?

The stock has an impressive record of positive earnings surprises, as it hasn't missed our earnings consensus estimate in any of the last four quarters. In its last earnings report on October 31, 2019, Global Payments reported EPS of $1.7 versus consensus estimate of $1.66 while it beat the consensus revenue estimate by 12.95%.

For the current fiscal year, Global Payments is expected to post earnings of $7.56 per share on $5.62 billion in revenues. Meanwhile, for the next fiscal year, the company is expected to earn $9.1 per share on $9.21 billion in revenues. This represents a year-over-year change of 22.4% and 63.76%, respectively.

Valuation Metrics

Global Payments may be at a 52-week high right now, but what might the future hold for the stock? A key aspect of this question is taking a look at valuation metrics in order to determine if the company has run ahead of itself.

On this front, we can look at the Zacks Style Scores, as they provide investors with an additional way to sort through stocks (beyond looking at the Zacks Rank of a security). These styles are represented by grades running from A to F in the categories of Value, Growth, and Momentum, while there is a combined VGM Score as well. Investors should consider the style scores a valuable tool that can help you to pick the most appropriate Zacks Rank stocks based on their individual investment style.

Global Payments has a Value Score of C. The stock's Growth and Momentum Scores are B and A, respectively, giving the company a VGM Score of B.

In terms of its value breakdown, the stock currently trades at 24.6X current fiscal year EPS estimates. On a trailing cash flow basis, the stock currently trades at 21X versus its peer group's average of 16.9X. Additionally, the stock has a PEG ratio of 1.36. This isn't enough to put the company in the top echelon of all stocks we cover from a value perspective.

Zacks Rank

We also need to look at the Zacks Rank for the stock, as this supersedes any trend on the style score front. Fortunately, Global Payments currently has a Zacks Rank of #2 (Buy) thanks to favorable earnings estimate revisions from covering analysts.

Since we recommend that investors select stocks carrying Zacks Rank of 1 (Strong Buy) or 2 (Buy) and Style Scores of A or B, it looks as if Global Payments fits the bill. Thus, it seems as though Global Payments shares could have a bit more room to run in the near term.

How Does Global Payments Stack Up to the Competition?

Shares of Global Payments have been rising, and the company still appears to be a decent choice, but what about the rest of the industry? Some of its industry peers are also impressive, including Diebold Nixdorf, (DBD), QIWI (QIWI), and The Western Union (WU), all of which currently have a Zacks Rank of at least #2 and a VGM Score of at least B, making them well-rounded choices.

The Zacks Industry Rank is in the top 35% of all the industries we have in our universe, so it looks like there are some nice tailwinds for Global Payments, even beyond its own solid fundamental situation.

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Global Payments Inc. (GPN) : Free Stock Analysis Report
 
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