GRAPHIC-World markets: Damage assessment
(Refiles Friday item, adding references to Monday trade in
intro, outlook)
By Ritvik Carvalho
LONDON, Feb 12 (Reuters) - It was a brutal week for world
markets: More than $6 trillion in stock market capitalization
lost in a selloff, the biggest one-day spike in the market's
"fear gauge", and burned investors who bet on a period of
extended calm.
With (Other OTC: WWTH - news) global investors still fretting about risks from
looming U.S. inflation data as trading resumed on Monday,
following are eight charts aimed at showing the extent of last
week's damage, giving an end-of-week snapshot of markets, and
helping assess the outlook:
STOCKS SAVAGED
Since the selloff began on Feb. 2, stocks have lost more
than $6 trillion in market capitalisation worldwide, and the
MSCI World Index has erased all of its
year-to-date gains.
As the above graphic shows, the selloff has battered Asian
stocks the most, with Japan's Nikkei 225 and China's two main
indices suffering losses in excess of 8 percent. U.S. shares
come in next, followed by those in emerging
markets , while European shares have suffered
least .
Here is a snapshot of global markets' performance since Jan.
29:
BETS ON EXTENDED CALM BURNED
The VIX index , also known as Wall Street's "fear
gauge", saw its biggest one-day spike higher, forcing an
implosion of products that bet on an extended period of calm.
As the graphic that follows shows, exchange-traded products
(ETPs) that bet on low volatility all took massive hits.
Credit Suisse (IOB: 0QP5.IL - news) said on Tuesday it will shutter the
VelocityShares Daily Inverse VIX Short-Term ETN , likely
leaving holders with just pennies on the dollar.
Nomura Securities will redeem its Tokyo Stock
Exchange-listed S&P 500 Vix Inverse ETN after a sharp equity
selloff since late last week triggered a massive loss in the
product.
Proshares says its short VIX short-term futures ETF will be
open for trading on Tuesday and it expects normal operations
going forward.
EXPLOSION CONTAINED
The spike in the VIX index has been far in excess of that
seen in volatility indexes that track other assets such as
currencies, gold and bonds.
THE TRIGGER
Analysts say the huge spike in the VIX index was due to a
rise in bond yields, on fears that central banks may start
raising interest rates sooner as inflation picks up. The yield
on the U.S. 10-year Treasury is close to a four-year high of
2.885 percent , while J.P. Morgan (Other OTC: MGHL - news) 's Global Bond Index
has fallen to its lowest in four years. Both moves have also
sparked a debate over whether a bull market in bonds is coming
to an end.
THE OUTLOOK
So is this the end of the global equity bull run? Asian
share markets found a semblance of calm on Monday, and analysts
say economic fundamentals remain strong. Citi's Economic
Surprise Index for the Group of 10 countries remains in strongly
positive territory. A positive reading for the index suggests
that economic releases have on balance been beating consensus.
(Reporting and graphics by Ritvik Carvalho; Additional
reporting by Marc Jones; Editing by Hugh Lawson)