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If You Had Bought Accor (EPA:AC) Shares Three Years Ago You'd Have Made 17%

Buying a low-cost index fund will get you the average market return. But in any diversified portfolio of stocks, you'll see some that fall short of the average. For example, the Accor SA (EPA:AC) share price return of 17% over three years lags the market return in the same period. Zooming in, the stock is up a respectable 16% in the last year.

Check out our latest analysis for Accor

In his essay The Superinvestors of Graham-and-Doddsville Warren Buffett described how share prices do not always rationally reflect the value of a business. By comparing earnings per share (EPS) and share price changes over time, we can get a feel for how investor attitudes to a company have morphed over time.

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During three years of share price growth, Accor achieved compound earnings per share growth of 69% per year. This EPS growth is higher than the 5.3% average annual increase in the share price. So one could reasonably conclude that the market has cooled on the stock. Of course, with a P/E ratio of 60.35, the market remains optimistic.

You can see how EPS has changed over time in the image below (click on the chart to see the exact values).

ENXTPA:AC Past and Future Earnings, December 24th 2019
ENXTPA:AC Past and Future Earnings, December 24th 2019

It is of course excellent to see how Accor has grown profits over the years, but the future is more important for shareholders. You can see how its balance sheet has strengthened (or weakened) over time in this free interactive graphic.

What About Dividends?

As well as measuring the share price return, investors should also consider the total shareholder return (TSR). The TSR incorporates the value of any spin-offs or discounted capital raisings, along with any dividends, based on the assumption that the dividends are reinvested. It's fair to say that the TSR gives a more complete picture for stocks that pay a dividend. As it happens, Accor's TSR for the last 3 years was 26%, which exceeds the share price return mentioned earlier. And there's no prize for guessing that the dividend payments largely explain the divergence!

A Different Perspective

Accor provided a TSR of 19% over the last twelve months. But that return falls short of the market. On the bright side, that's still a gain, and it's actually better than the average return of 4.9% over half a decade It is possible that returns will improve along with the business fundamentals. Before deciding if you like the current share price, check how Accor scores on these 3 valuation metrics.

Of course, you might find a fantastic investment by looking elsewhere. So take a peek at this free list of companies we expect will grow earnings.

Please note, the market returns quoted in this article reflect the market weighted average returns of stocks that currently trade on FR exchanges.

If you spot an error that warrants correction, please contact the editor at editorial-team@simplywallst.com. This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. Simply Wall St has no position in the stocks mentioned.

We aim to bring you long-term focused research analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Thank you for reading.