Advertisement
UK markets open in 1 hour 3 minutes
  • NIKKEI 225

    37,629.48
    -830.60 (-2.16%)
     
  • HANG SENG

    17,263.48
    +62.21 (+0.36%)
     
  • CRUDE OIL

    82.92
    +0.11 (+0.13%)
     
  • GOLD FUTURES

    2,329.70
    -8.70 (-0.37%)
     
  • DOW

    38,460.92
    -42.77 (-0.11%)
     
  • Bitcoin GBP

    51,508.33
    -2,008.81 (-3.75%)
     
  • CMC Crypto 200

    1,389.28
    -34.82 (-2.44%)
     
  • NASDAQ Composite

    15,712.75
    +16.11 (+0.10%)
     
  • UK FTSE All Share

    4,374.06
    -4.69 (-0.11%)
     

If You Had Bought Ascential (LON:ASCL) Shares Three Years Ago You'd Have Made 37%

One simple way to benefit from the stock market is to buy an index fund. But if you buy good businesses at attractive prices, your portfolio returns could exceed the average market return. For example, the Ascential plc (LON:ASCL) share price is up 37% in the last three years, clearly besting the market return of around 5.8% (not including dividends). On the other hand, the returns haven't been quite so good recently, with shareholders up just 3.6% , including dividends .

View our latest analysis for Ascential

While markets are a powerful pricing mechanism, share prices reflect investor sentiment, not just underlying business performance. One flawed but reasonable way to assess how sentiment around a company has changed is to compare the earnings per share (EPS) with the share price.

ADVERTISEMENT

During three years of share price growth, Ascential moved from a loss to profitability. So we would expect a higher share price over the period.

The company's earnings per share (over time) is depicted in the image below (click to see the exact numbers).

LSE:ASCL Past and Future Earnings, January 29th 2020
LSE:ASCL Past and Future Earnings, January 29th 2020

It is of course excellent to see how Ascential has grown profits over the years, but the future is more important for shareholders. It might be well worthwhile taking a look at our free report on how its financial position has changed over time.

What About Dividends?

As well as measuring the share price return, investors should also consider the total shareholder return (TSR). The TSR is a return calculation that accounts for the value of cash dividends (assuming that any dividend received was reinvested) and the calculated value of any discounted capital raisings and spin-offs. Arguably, the TSR gives a more comprehensive picture of the return generated by a stock. As it happens, Ascential's TSR for the last 3 years was 43%, which exceeds the share price return mentioned earlier. And there's no prize for guessing that the dividend payments largely explain the divergence!

A Different Perspective

Ascential shareholders are up 3.6% for the year (even including dividends) . While you don't go broke making a profit, this return was actually lower than the average market return of about 17%. At least the longer term returns (running at about 13% a year, are better. We prefer focus on longer term returns, as they are usually a more meaningful indication of the underlying business. I find it very interesting to look at share price over the long term as a proxy for business performance. But to truly gain insight, we need to consider other information, too. For example, we've discovered 1 warning sign for Ascential that you should be aware of before investing here.

If you would prefer to check out another company -- one with potentially superior financials -- then do not miss this free list of companies that have proven they can grow earnings.

Please note, the market returns quoted in this article reflect the market weighted average returns of stocks that currently trade on GB exchanges.

If you spot an error that warrants correction, please contact the editor at editorial-team@simplywallst.com. This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. Simply Wall St has no position in the stocks mentioned.

We aim to bring you long-term focused research analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Thank you for reading.