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If You Had Bought Draper Esprit (LON:GROW) Stock Three Years Ago, You Could Pocket A 68% Gain Today

By buying an index fund, investors can approximate the average market return. But if you buy good businesses at attractive prices, your portfolio returns could exceed the average market return. For example, the Draper Esprit plc (LON:GROW) share price is up 68% in the last three years, clearly besting the market decline of around 13% (not including dividends). However, more recent returns haven't been as impressive as that, with the stock returning just 34% in the last year.

Check out our latest analysis for Draper Esprit

In his essay The Superinvestors of Graham-and-Doddsville Warren Buffett described how share prices do not always rationally reflect the value of a business. One imperfect but simple way to consider how the market perception of a company has shifted is to compare the change in the earnings per share (EPS) with the share price movement.

During the three years of share price growth, Draper Esprit actually saw its earnings per share (EPS) drop 28% per year.

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This means it's unlikely the market is judging the company based on earnings growth. Since the change in EPS doesn't seem to correlate with the change in share price, it's worth taking a look at other metrics.

It could be that the revenue growth of 31% per year is viewed as evidence that Draper Esprit is growing. If the company is being managed for the long term good, today's shareholders might be right to hold on.

You can see below how earnings and revenue have changed over time (discover the exact values by clicking on the image).

earnings-and-revenue-growth
earnings-and-revenue-growth

It's probably worth noting that the CEO is paid less than the median at similar sized companies. It's always worth keeping an eye on CEO pay, but a more important question is whether the company will grow earnings throughout the years. So it makes a lot of sense to check out what analysts think Draper Esprit will earn in the future (free profit forecasts).

A Different Perspective

Pleasingly, Draper Esprit's total shareholder return last year was 34%. So this year's TSR was actually better than the three-year TSR (annualized) of 19%. Given the track record of solid returns over varying time frames, it might be worth putting Draper Esprit on your watchlist. While it is well worth considering the different impacts that market conditions can have on the share price, there are other factors that are even more important. Consider risks, for instance. Every company has them, and we've spotted 1 warning sign for Draper Esprit you should know about.

We will like Draper Esprit better if we see some big insider buys. While we wait, check out this free list of growing companies with considerable, recent, insider buying.

Please note, the market returns quoted in this article reflect the market weighted average returns of stocks that currently trade on GB exchanges.

This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.

Have feedback on this article? Concerned about the content? Get in touch with us directly. Alternatively, email editorial-team@simplywallst.com.