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If You Had Bought Genomic Vision Société Anonyme (EPA:GV) Stock Five Years Ago, You'd Be Sitting On A 97% Loss, Today

It is a pleasure to report that the Genomic Vision Société Anonyme (EPA:GV) is up 56% in the last quarter. But that doesn't change the fact that the returns over the last half decade have been stomach churning. Five years have seen the share price descend precipitously, down a full 97%. The recent bounce might mean the long decline is over, but we are not confident. The real question is whether the business can leave its past behind and improve itself over the years ahead.

While a drop like that is definitely a body blow, money isn't as important as health and happiness.

View our latest analysis for Genomic Vision Société Anonyme

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Genomic Vision Société Anonyme recorded just €2,050,000 in revenue over the last twelve months, which isn't really enough for us to consider it to have a proven product. We can't help wondering why it's publicly listed so early in its journey. Are venture capitalists not interested? So it seems shareholders are too busy dreaming about the progress to come than dwelling on the current (lack of) revenue. For example, they may be hoping that Genomic Vision Société Anonyme comes up with a great new product, before it runs out of money.

Companies that lack both meaningful revenue and profits are usually considered high risk. You should be aware that there is always a chance that this sort of company will need to issue more shares to raise money to continue pursuing its business plan. While some such companies do very well over the long term, others become hyped up by promoters before eventually falling back down to earth, and going bankrupt (or being recapitalized). Some Genomic Vision Société Anonyme investors have already had a taste of the bitterness stocks like this can leave in the mouth.

Our data indicates that Genomic Vision Société Anonyme had €2.2m more in total liabilities than it had cash, when it last reported in June 2019. That makes it extremely high risk, in our view. But with the share price diving 50% per year, over 5 years , it's probably fair to say that some shareholders no longer believe the company will succeed. You can see in the image below, how Genomic Vision Société Anonyme's cash levels have changed over time (click to see the values). The image below shows how Genomic Vision Société Anonyme's balance sheet has changed over time; if you want to see the precise values, simply click on the image.

ENXTPA:GV Historical Debt, February 13th 2020
ENXTPA:GV Historical Debt, February 13th 2020

It can be extremely risky to invest in a company that doesn't even have revenue. There's no way to know its value easily. Would it bother you if insiders were selling the stock? I would feel more nervous about the company if that were so. It costs nothing but a moment of your time to see if we are picking up on any insider selling.

A Different Perspective

It's good to see that Genomic Vision Société Anonyme has rewarded shareholders with a total shareholder return of 86% in the last twelve months. Notably the five-year annualised TSR loss of 50% per year compares very unfavourably with the recent share price performance. The long term loss makes us cautious, but the short term TSR gain certainly hints at a brighter future. I find it very interesting to look at share price over the long term as a proxy for business performance. But to truly gain insight, we need to consider other information, too. To that end, you should learn about the 6 warning signs we've spotted with Genomic Vision Société Anonyme (including 2 which is are a bit concerning) .

Of course, you might find a fantastic investment by looking elsewhere. So take a peek at this free list of companies we expect will grow earnings.

Please note, the market returns quoted in this article reflect the market weighted average returns of stocks that currently trade on FR exchanges.

If you spot an error that warrants correction, please contact the editor at editorial-team@simplywallst.com. This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. Simply Wall St has no position in the stocks mentioned.

We aim to bring you long-term focused research analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Thank you for reading.