Advertisement
UK markets close in 8 hours 30 minutes
  • FTSE 100

    8,040.38
    -4.43 (-0.06%)
     
  • FTSE 250

    19,719.37
    0.00 (0.00%)
     
  • AIM

    754.69
    -0.18 (-0.02%)
     
  • GBP/EUR

    1.1657
    +0.0012 (+0.10%)
     
  • GBP/USD

    1.2498
    +0.0036 (+0.29%)
     
  • Bitcoin GBP

    51,409.52
    -1,992.19 (-3.73%)
     
  • CMC Crypto 200

    1,389.18
    +6.60 (+0.48%)
     
  • S&P 500

    5,071.63
    +1.08 (+0.02%)
     
  • DOW

    38,460.92
    -42.77 (-0.11%)
     
  • CRUDE OIL

    82.92
    +0.11 (+0.13%)
     
  • GOLD FUTURES

    2,332.40
    -6.00 (-0.26%)
     
  • NIKKEI 225

    37,628.48
    -831.60 (-2.16%)
     
  • HANG SENG

    17,269.68
    +68.41 (+0.40%)
     
  • DAX

    18,088.70
    -48.95 (-0.27%)
     
  • CAC 40

    8,091.86
    -13.92 (-0.17%)
     

If You Had Bought GVC Holdings (LON:GVC) Shares Five Years Ago You'd Have Made 46%

Want to participate in a short research study? Help shape the future of investing tools and you could win a $250 gift card!

When we invest, we're generally looking for stocks that outperform the market average. Buying under-rated businesses is one path to excess returns. For example, the GVC Holdings PLC (LON:GVC) share price is up 46% in the last 5 years, clearly besting than the market return of around 1.2% (ignoring dividends).

See our latest analysis for GVC Holdings

GVC Holdings isn't currently profitable, so most analysts would look to revenue growth to get an idea of how fast the underlying business is growing. Shareholders of unprofitable companies usually expect strong revenue growth. Some companies are willing to postpone profitability to grow revenue faster, but in that case one does expect good top-line growth.

ADVERTISEMENT

In the last 5 years GVC Holdings saw its revenue grow at 61% per year. That's well above most pre-profit companies. It's good to see that the stock has 7.9%, but not entirely surprising given revenue shows strong growth. If the strong revenue growth continues, we'd expect the share price to follow, in time. Of course, you'll have to research the business more fully to figure out if this is an attractive opportunity.

The graphic below shows how revenue and earnings have changed as management guided the business forward. If you want to see cashflow, you can click on the chart.

LSE:GVC Income Statement, May 8th 2019
LSE:GVC Income Statement, May 8th 2019

It's good to see that there was some significant insider buying in the last three months. That's a positive. On the other hand, we think the revenue and earnings trends are much more meaningful measures of the business. So it makes a lot of sense to check out what analysts think GVC Holdings will earn in the future (free profit forecasts).

What About Dividends?

It is important to consider the total shareholder return, as well as the share price return, for any given stock. The TSR incorporates the value of any spin-offs or discounted capital raisings, along with any dividends, based on the assumption that the dividends are reinvested. So for companies that pay a generous dividend, the TSR is often a lot higher than the share price return. In the case of GVC Holdings, it has a TSR of 89% for the last 5 years. That exceeds its share price return that we previously mentioned. This is largely a result of its dividend payments!

A Different Perspective

Investors in GVC Holdings had a tough year, with a total loss of 26% (including dividends), against a market gain of about 1.0%. However, keep in mind that even the best stocks will sometimes underperform the market over a twelve month period. On the bright side, long term shareholders have made money, with a gain of 14% per year over half a decade. It could be that the recent sell-off is an opportunity, so it may be worth checking the fundamental data for signs of a long term growth trend. It is all well and good that insiders have been buying shares, but we suggest you check here to see what price insiders were buying at.

GVC Holdings is not the only stock that insiders are buying. For those who like to find winning investments this free list of growing companies with recent insider purchasing, could be just the ticket.

Please note, the market returns quoted in this article reflect the market weighted average returns of stocks that currently trade on GB exchanges.

We aim to bring you long-term focused research analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material.

If you spot an error that warrants correction, please contact the editor at editorial-team@simplywallst.com. This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. Simply Wall St has no position in the stocks mentioned. Thank you for reading.