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Here's why the United Utilities share price might be in serious trouble

Paying attention to a few simple checklists can radically improve our risk management. One of these - the Altman Z-Score - was found to be:

  • 72% accurate in predicting bankruptcy two years prior to the event in its initial test

  • 80-90% accurate in predicting bankruptcy one year before the event in the 31 years up until 1999

The Z-Score measures how closely a firm resembles other firms that have filed for bankruptcy by considering the following areas:

  • Current assets as a proportion of total assets,

  • Cumulative profitability and use of leverage,

  • Productivity of assets, and

  • Firm value compared to liabilities

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A Z-Score of more than 2.99 is considered to be a safe company. Those with a Z-Score of less than 1.8, on the other hand, have been shown to have a significant risk of financial distress within two years. We can see the checklist in action by applying it to a listed company. Take United Utilities (LON:UU.), for example. The Company, through its subsidiary, United Utilities Water Limited (United Utilities Water), manages the regulated water and wastewater network in the North West of England, providing services to around seven million people and businesses

How does United Utilities fare against Altman’s influential checklist?

GET MORE DATA-DRIVEN INSIGHTS INTO LON:UU. »

What does the Altman Z-Score flag up about United Utilities?

United Utilities gets a Z-Score of 1.49, indicating that caution should be taken when considering this stock. For more information, view its StockReport here with a free trial.

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The problem areas for United Utilities identified here can be explored in more depth on Stockopedia's research platform. All the best investors have stringent due diligence processes that reduce the chances of them suffering big losses, so why not take a leaf out of their book?

Simple tools can help us better measure and understand the risks we take. That's why the Stockopedia team has been busy building new ways of understanding investment risks and company characteristics. In this webinar, we talk about two or our most popular innovations: StockRank Styles and RiskRatings. These indicators transform a ton of vital financial information into intuitive classifications, allowing you to get an instant feel for any company on any market - sign up for a free trial to see how your stocks stack up.