After HomeAway, fewer options to bet directly on sharing economy
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By Noel Randewich
SAN FRANCISCO, Nov 6 (Reuters) - It (Other OTC: ITGL - news) is about to get even
harder for stock market investors to make direct bets on the
small but fast-growing sharing economy that has gained attention
from the runaway success of Uber and Airbnb.
Expedia (NasdaqGS: EXPE - news) 's deal to buy vacation rental site HomeAway
Inc (LSE: 0M50.L - news) for about $3.9 billion, unveiled Wednesday, will
shorten an already modest list of publicly-traded companies
focused on peer-to-peer home rentals, ride-hailing services and
other ways for people to make money from their personal
property.
It is a sector that could earn $335 billion in annual
revenue over the next decade, estimates PriceWaterHouseCoopers,
and present opportunities for investors, according to Credit
Suisse.
But many of the smallish firms currently trading in that
space on U.S (Other OTC: UBGXF - news) . exchanges have not performed as well as HomeAway (NasdaqGS: AWAY - news) ,
up almost 20 percent since the deal with Expedia was unveiled.
Peer-to-peer finance company LendingClub (Berlin: 8LC.BE - news) has fallen
43 percent year to date and is just below its 2014 initial
public offering price. Textbook renter Chegg (NYSE: CHGG - news) is up 9
percent this year but remains 39 percent below its lofty 2013
IPO price.
With a combined market capitalization of just $10 billion,
those companies and HomeAway are dwarfed by sharing economy
heavyweight Uber, whose most recent round of funding valued it
at over $50 billion, and Airbnb, valued around $25 billion.
"If you're looking for a public company related to the
sharing economy, there's nobody else doing it at this scale,"
said Cantor Fitzgerald analyst Naved Khan.
Uber CEO Travis Kalanick recently said his company was years
from an IPO. Airbnb has been quiet on its plans go public and in
June raised $1.5 billion in fresh funds, suggesting it is in no
hurry.
Credit Suisse (LSE: 0QP5.L - news) 's equities research group in a recent report
listed LendingClub, TripAdvisor (NasdaqGS: TRIP - news) , United Kingdom-listed
Regus (Other OTC: RGSJF - news) and car rental agencies Avis Budget (NasdaqGS: CAR - news) and Hertz
among stocks poised to benefit from the sharing economy.
Regus, which since the 1980s has offered temporary
offices and meeting rooms, has surged 61 percent this year.
JCDecaux (Paris: FR0000077919 - news) , an advertising company that operates public
bike-share systems across Europe, has jumped 28 percent.
None are bargain priced, however. LendingClub now trades
around 66 times expected earnings and Chegg at 47 times earnings
making both more expensive than HomeAway at 46 times earnings.
Compass Point Research analyst Michael Tarkan recommends
selling LendingClub's stock because of competitive risks and
regulatory uncertainty related to its use of a third-party bank
to make loans, which it then buys and sells to investors.
Chegg, which started as a textbook rental service and is
transitioning to a digital business as well as connecting tutors
with students, has yet to see its stock reach its IPO price.
That underscores the importance of carefully weighing
valuations, even if only a handful of sharing-economy stocks are
available to investors.
"Beware buying new offerings of 'sharing economy'
powerhouses if they come public during a period of market
exuberance. They will likely be overpriced," wrote Guild
Investment Management executive vice president Tim Shirata in a
note to clients on Thursday. "Wait for a significant correction
before you invest."
(Reporting by Noel Randewich, additional reporting by Jeffrey
Dastin in New York; Editing by Linda Stern and Andrew Hay)