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Can HP (HPQ) Run Higher on Rising Earnings Estimates?

Zacks Equity Research
·2-min read

Investors might want to bet on HP (HPQ), as earnings estimates for this company have been showing solid improvement lately. The stock has already gained solid short-term price momentum, and this trend might continue with its still improving earnings outlook.

The upward trend in estimate revisions for this personal computer and printer maker reflects growing optimism of analysts on its earnings prospects, which should get reflected in its stock price. After all, empirical research shows a strong correlation between trends in earnings estimate revisions and near-term stock price movements. This insight is at the core of our stock rating tool -- the Zacks Rank.

The five-grade Zacks Rank system, which ranges from a Zacks Rank #1 (Strong Buy) to a Zacks Rank #5 (Strong Sell), has an impressive externally-audited track record of outperformance, with Zacks #1 Ranked stocks generating an average annual return of +25% since 2008.

Consensus earnings estimates for the next quarter and full year have moved considerably higher for HP, as there has been strong agreement among the covering analysts in raising estimates.

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The chart below shows the evolution of forward 12-month Zacks Consensus EPS estimate:

12 Month EPS

Current-Quarter Estimate Revisions

The company is expected to earn $0.65 per share for the current quarter, which represents a year-over-year change of 0%.

Over the last 30 days, two estimates have moved higher for HP compared to no negative revisions. As a result, the Zacks Consensus Estimate has increased 28.71%.

Current-Year Estimate Revisions

For the full year, the earnings estimate of $2.65 per share represents a change of +16.23% from the year-ago number.

There has been an encouraging trend in estimate revisions for the current year as well. Over the past month, six estimates have moved up for HP versus no negative revisions. This has pushed the consensus estimate 15.79% higher.

Favorable Zacks Rank

The promising estimate revisions have helped HP earn a Zacks Rank #2 (Buy). The Zacks Rank is a tried-and-tested rating tool that helps investors effectively harness the power of earnings estimate revisions and make the right investment decision. You can see the complete list of today's Zacks #1 Rank (Strong Buy) stocks here.

Our research shows that stocks with Zacks Rank #1 (Strong Buy) and 2 (Buy) significantly outperform the S&P 500.

Bottom Line

HP shares have added 19.1% over the past four weeks, suggesting that investors are betting on its impressive estimate revisions. So, you may consider adding it to your portfolio right away to benefit from its earnings growth prospects.


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