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Imagine Owning Joules Group (LON:JOUL) While The Price Tanked 54%

The nature of investing is that you win some, and you lose some. And unfortunately for Joules Group Plc (LON:JOUL) shareholders, the stock is a lot lower today than it was a year ago. In that relatively short period, the share price has plunged 54%. Even if you look out three years, the returns are still disappointing, with the share price down42% in that time. The falls have accelerated recently, with the share price down 41% in the last three months.

See our latest analysis for Joules Group

To paraphrase Benjamin Graham: Over the short term the market is a voting machine, but over the long term it's a weighing machine. One flawed but reasonable way to assess how sentiment around a company has changed is to compare the earnings per share (EPS) with the share price.

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Unfortunately Joules Group reported an EPS drop of 58% for the last year. This proportional reduction in earnings per share isn't far from the 54% decrease in the share price. Given the lower EPS we might have expected investors to lose confidence in the stock, but that doesn't seemed to have happened. Rather, the share price has approximately tracked EPS growth.

The company's earnings per share (over time) is depicted in the image below (click to see the exact numbers).

AIM:JOUL Past and Future Earnings, February 28th 2020
AIM:JOUL Past and Future Earnings, February 28th 2020

We know that Joules Group has improved its bottom line over the last three years, but what does the future have in store? This free interactive report on Joules Group's balance sheet strength is a great place to start, if you want to investigate the stock further.

A Different Perspective

Over the last year, Joules Group shareholders took a loss of 54% , including dividends . In contrast the market gained about 4.0%. Of course the long term matters more than the short term, and even great stocks will sometimes have a poor year. Shareholders have lost 16% per year over the last three years, so the share price drop has become steeper, over the last year; a potential symptom of as yet unsolved challenges. We would be wary of buying into a company with unsolved problems, although some investors will buy into struggling stocks if they believe the price is sufficiently attractive. While it is well worth considering the different impacts that market conditions can have on the share price, there are other factors that are even more important. Take risks, for example - Joules Group has 3 warning signs we think you should be aware of.

Of course Joules Group may not be the best stock to buy. So you may wish to see this free collection of growth stocks.

Please note, the market returns quoted in this article reflect the market weighted average returns of stocks that currently trade on GB exchanges.

If you spot an error that warrants correction, please contact the editor at editorial-team@simplywallst.com. This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. Simply Wall St has no position in the stocks mentioned.

We aim to bring you long-term focused research analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Thank you for reading.