Indonesia Telecoms Market Growth Trends and Forecasts to 2027 - Take-up of 5G Forecast to Ramp up to 9M by end of 2022 and 183M Subscribers by 2027

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Dublin, June 16, 2022 (GLOBE NEWSWIRE) -- The "Indonesia Telecoms Industry Report - 2022-2027" report has been added to's offering.

The Indonesian telecommunications industry is set to remain steady thanks to the defensiveness nature of the industry, amid the political uncertainties and an uncertain economic outlook due to the COVID-19 pandemic. 5G mobile subscribers are forecast to represent 43.5% of all subscriptions by 2027 in Indonesia. 4G will represent about 50.6% of all connections while 2G and 3G will represent about 2% if not shut down earlier.

Indosat and Telkomsel launched 5G in 2021 and take-up will ramp to an estimated 9m by the end of 2022, while the publisher forecasts just under 183m 5G subscribers by 2027 for the Indonesian market.

The Indonesian telecommunications market is a thriving mobile market with four large network operators, an incumbent fixed-line provider with near-monopoly and the overall market underpinned by strong economic fundamentals. Indonesia is among the fastest developing telecommunications market in the world, driven by growth in both mobile and fixed broadband subscriptions.

Mobile subscriptions are forecast will continue to grow strongly in the 2020-25 period after a slow down in 2018. Fixed broadband subscribers will also continue to grow and increase their household penetration. Expanded coverage, greater affordability, service improvements, increased data usage and smartphone penetration are the main drivers of growth in the telecoms sector. The country continues to expand its fibre-optic network and 4G coverage, backed by strong investment in capital expenditure. Investment in the telecoms sector grew at a fast pace and momentum was maintained as expected in the 2020-25 period.

The overall telecoms market is forecast to grow strongly through to 2027 after a decline in 2018 due to the SIM registration regulation with overall market growth resuming through to 2027.

Capex Investments

The Capex to GDP ratio remained relatively stable between 2015 and 2021. The capital expenditure (Capex) from telecommunications operators is growing strongly as mobile operators build out their 4G coverage and increase capacity to fulfil strong data demand and increased smartphone take-up. The publisher expects Capex spending to grow between 2022 and 2027.

Thematics - Telecoms Infrastructure / 5G / M&A / e-Commerce

The long-envisioned Palapa Ring national broadband network is now completed and operational since the end of 2019. The US$1.3bn project incorporates eight different networks. The report outlines some real market examples of how investors view and value these investments with real industry examples and EV/EBITDA comparatives and benchmarks. Most telecommunications operators are in the heavy investments phase both in fixed and mobile segments, spending heavily upgrading their 4G network infrastructure. The publisher expects a wave of consolidation in Indonesia not before 2022-2023, as margins get squeezed further and a new Capex cycle kicking with 5G. The increase in smartphone penetration made possible by the availability of low-cost devices has triggered growth in e-commerce, tapping into the potential of Indonesia's emerging middle class with relatively high disposable income. GoJek, Tokopedia, Grab and Bukalapak are leading the pack with e-commerce, ride-sharing and mobile payments.

The report provides analyses of revenue and market forecasts as well as statistics of the Indonesian telecoms industry including market sizing, 5-year forecasts, market insights, key telecom trends, 5G, digital infrastructure and also features the following:

  • Overall Telecommunications Market by Major Operators

  • Telco Operators Profile, Revenue and EBITDA Mix

  • Mobile Subscribers & Revenue Market Overview and Forecasts

  • Spectrum Holdings

  • IoT Market Overview

  • Broadband Subscribers & Revenue Market Overview and Forecasts

  • Digital Infrastructure (Fibre, Telecom Towers, Data Centres, Submarine Cables)

  • Telecom Tower Market Analysis and Forecast

  • Thematics / Opportunities relating to 5G, M&A and e-Commerce

  • Telco M&A Transaction Database

The Indonesia Telecommunications Industry Report, 2022-2027 includes an overview of the Indonesian market dynamics, market sizing, market forecasts, analysis, insights, and key trends.

Key Topics Covered:

1 Key Statistics

2 COVID-19 Impact

3 Overall Telecommunications Market 2015-2027
3.1 Market Overview
3.2 Historical Telecommunications Market Revenue 2015-2021
3.3 Overall Telecommunications Market Forecast 2020-2027
3.4 Telecommunications Market Capital Expenditure 2015-2027

4 Telecommunications Operators Profile
4.1 Telkom Indonesia Profile
4.1.1 Telkom Revenue and EBITDA Mix
4.2 Indosat Ooredoo Hutchison Profile
4.3 XL Axiata
4.4 Smartfren Profile
4.5 Link Net
4.6 Other Players Profile
4.6.1 MNC Vision
4.6.2 BizNet

5 Mobile market
5.1 Mobile Subscribers Historical and Forecast 2015-2027
5.2 Mobile Revenue Historical and Forecast 2015-2027
5.3 Spectrum Holdings
5.3.1 5G Development and Launches
5.3.2 Mobile Frequencies Portfolios Analysis
5.3.3 Spectrum Depth Benchmark by Country
5.4 Mobile Download Data and Pricing Trends
5.5 Mobile Speed Tests
5.5.1 Ookla Mobile Speed Tests
5.5.2 OpenSignal
5.6 Internet of Things (IoT)

6 Broadband Market
6.1 Fixed Broadband Subscribers Historical 2015-2021
6.2 Fixed Broadband Subscribers Forecast 2020-2027

7 Fixed Telecommunications Infrastructure Investments
7.1 Fixed Digital Infrastructure
7.1.1 Palapa Ring Completed
7.1.2 FTTH - 30m premises to go
7.1.3 Submarine Cables

8 Indonesia Telecom Towers Infrastructure Landscape
8.1 Indonesia Telecom Towers Market Analysis 2021
8.2 Indonesia Tower Market Competitive Landscape Comparison
8.3 Indonesia Telecom Towers & Rooftops Market Forecast
8.4 Mitratel Profile
8.5 Tower bersama Profile
8.6 Protelindo Profile
8.7 Centratama Menara Profile
8.8 IBS Towers Profile
8.9 Bali Tower Telecom Profile
8.10 Tower Density Benchmark

9 Thematics / Opportunities
9.1 Consolidation Opportunities
9.2 Diversification Opportunities
9.3 New Telecoms Operating Model
9.3.1 The Attraction of Infrastructure Multiples
9.4 5G Developments

10 Telco Transaction Database

Companies Mentioned

  • BizNet

  • Centratama

  • DigitalBridge

  • EdgePoint

  • FiberStar

  • Gihon

  • GoJek

  • IBS Towers

  • Indosat

  • Kabel MNC Play

  • Link Net

  • Mitratel

  • MyRepublic

  • Protelindo

  • Smartfren

  • Telkom

  • Telkomsel

  • Tokopedia

  • Tower Bersama

  • Tri Indonesia

  • XL Axiata

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